Result
1:1
18/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 27
- Referee: Giua A. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Monza 48.1% | Draw 28.2% | Cremonese 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-3%)
Monza - Cremonese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↑ (1.78) |
3.37 ↓ (3.63) |
4.06 ↓ (4.56) |
4.7% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Monza - Cremonese?
Users Predictions:
Monza will win
(31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Monza has the most likely position - 13 (23.78%), project points - 46, currently - 33, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Cremonese has the most likely position - 19 (39.7%), project points - 25, currently - 12, a good chance of relegated (90%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 53, small importance 13, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 4.
- Recent matches Monza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cremonese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Monza is a favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Dany Mota
(Injury)
Marlon
(Injury)
Rovella N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cremonese: Aiwu E.
(Muscle Injury)
Chiriches V.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Cremonese?
Monza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cremonese won against Monza?
Cremonese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Cremonese were as follows:
14.01.2023
Cremonese
-
Monza
2:3
Latest results of Cremonese
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 62:21 | 41 | 64 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41:20 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Napoli | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 34:16 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Juventus | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 45 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Lazio | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 33 |
| 12 | Udinese | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Genoa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:37 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 | Torino | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20:43 | -23 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19:46 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B