Result
1:0
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 37
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Northampton Town 61.8% | Draw 23.8% | Crewe Alexandra 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1%)
Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.55) |
3.96 ↑ (3.64) |
6.36 ↑ (5.8) |
6.5% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 17).
- Northampton has the most likely position - 4 (18.35%), project points - 79, currently - 63, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), a chance of promoted (46%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
- Crewe has the most likely position - 18 (19.16%), project points - 54, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has very small quality 9, importance 38, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
- Northampton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Crewe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Northampton is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Northampton to win the game is with odds 1.56.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Northampton Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League