Northampton Town vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
61.8%
Draw
23.8%
Crewe Alexandra
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 25.2% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.6% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.55)
    3.96
    (3.64)
    6.36
    (5.8)
    6.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 17).
    • Northampton has the most likely position - 4 (18.35%), project points - 79, currently - 63, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), a chance of promoted (46%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
    • Crewe has the most likely position - 18 (19.16%), project points - 54, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 9, importance 38, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
    • Northampton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Crewe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Northampton is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Northampton to win the game is with odds 1.56.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley331811456:342265
    2Cambridge Utd33189648:262263
    3MK Dons331710662:332961
    4Notts Co33187852:322061
    5Swindon341941156:401661
    6Crewe341581150:401053
    7Chesterfield331314652:43953
    8Salford321641245:43252
    9Barnet3413111043:37650
    10Walsall321481040:35550
    11Colchester321310948:341449
    12Grimsby321310945:37849
    13Accrington331371336:34246
    14Fleetwood321281243:42144
    15Oldham311012934:30442
    16Gillingham3210111140:41-141
    17Shrewsbury341081633:52-1938
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere33981645:57-1235
    20Bristol Rovers33932132:56-2430
    21Crawley346101833:54-2128
    22Barrow32761933:50-1727
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport33662132:60-2824

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League