Criciúma U20 vs Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Catarinense U20 Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
Result
3:0
02/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Catarinense U20 - Round 18

Match Stats

Total shots
00
Total shots
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Criciúma U20
54.4%
Draw
26.7%
Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 20.3% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 19.2% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma U20's form might have worsened.
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias U20's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma U20 than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.35)
    2.83
    (4.37)
    4
    (6.42)
    32.3%
    (12.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
    • Criciúma U20 is Qualified for Catarinense U20 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • Criciúma U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marcílio Dias U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marcílio Dias U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Criciúma U20 is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma U20 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20 0:0
    05.08.2024 Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 1:0
    28.07.2024 Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20 2:2
    23.06.2024 Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20 0:0
    21.04.2024 Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 3:2
    Latest results of Criciúma U20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC U20Figueirense U204 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Barra FC U20Criciuma U200 : 0, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC U20Criciuma U20