Result
4:1
14/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Santa Catarina - Round 6
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Criciúma
53.7% | Draw
27.4% | Caravaggio
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma's form might have worsened.Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Criciúma - Caravaggio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.52) |
3.33 ↓
(4) |
4.81 ↓
(5.33) |
9.9%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Criciúma is Qualified for Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Criciúma is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Criciúma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Caravaggio?
Criciúma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caravaggio won against Criciúma?
Caravaggio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Caravaggio were as follows:
10.09.2025
Caravaggio
-
Criciúma
0:1
12.02.2025
Criciúma
-
Caravaggio
1:2
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of Caravaggio
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Figueirense | Chapecoense-SC | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina | Marcilio Dias | 1 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Blumenau | Tubarao | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Criciuma | Joinville | 0 : 0 |
