Result
1:2
12/02/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Rodrigo ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Henik ⚽,
- 45+2', Jesse Costa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ruan ↓, Henrique Freitas ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Genesis ⚽,
- 55', Eliedson ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 56', Juninho 🟨,
- 59', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 63', Genesis ↓, Elyson ↑,
- 64', Everton Morelli ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
- 64', Neto Pessoa ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 75', Henrique Freitas 🟨,
- 78', Querobino ↓, Padilha ↑,
- 78', Jesse Costa 🟨,
- 78', 🟨,
- 79', Wilian Carvalho ↓, Tiago Coelho ↑,
- 81', Caique 🟥,
- 82', Talisson ↓, Eduardo Melo ↑,
- 83', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Kaua Moroso ↑,
Chances of winning
Criciúma
77.9% | Draw
16% | Caravaggio
6.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+4%)
Criciúma - Caravaggio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.35) |
5.82 ↑
(4.2) |
15.15 ↑
(8.43) |
7.7%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Caravaggio is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Criciúma is indisputable favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Caravaggio?
Criciúma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caravaggio won against Criciúma?
Caravaggio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Caravaggio were as follows:
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of Caravaggio
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
