Criciúma vs Caravaggio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Criciúma - Caravaggio
Result
4:1
14/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Santa Catarina - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 75', 2 - 0, ,
  • 82', 3 - 0, ,
  • 86', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Criciúma
53.7%
Draw
27.4%
Caravaggio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 22.8% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 22.3% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma's form might have worsened.
  • Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Criciúma - Caravaggio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.52)
    3.33
    (4)
    4.81
    (5.33)
    9.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Criciúma is Qualified for Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Criciúma is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Criciúma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Caravaggio were as follows:
    10.09.2025 Caravaggio - Criciúma 0:1
    12.02.2025 Criciúma - Caravaggio 1:2
    Latest results of Criciúma
    07.10.2025 Amazonas - Criciúma 2:1
    04.10.2025 Camboriú - Criciúma 3:3
    02.10.2025 Vila Nova - Criciúma 1:1
    Latest results of Caravaggio
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FigueirenseChapecoense-SC1 : 2
    2Santa CatarinaMarcilio Dias1 : 1, 2 : 3
    3BlumenauTubarao1 : 0
    4CriciumaJoinville0 : 0