Grêmio vs Criciúma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Grêmio - Criciúma
Result
1:2
25/09/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 5
  • Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.82
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
107
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
40
Free Kicks
138
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
2616
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Fouls
79
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
331205
Completed Passes
286278

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Arthur Caike ,
  • 17', Monsalve M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Dudu , Claudinho ,
  • 53', Newton 🟨,
  • 56', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
  • 59', Cristaldo F. , Costa D. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Villasanti M. , Costa D. (A),
  • 72', Matheusinho 🟨,
  • 72', Matheusinho , Ronald Lopes ,
  • 72', Fellipe Mateus , Jhonata Robert ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Ronald Lopes , Arthur Caike (A),
  • 83', Gustavo Barreto , Walisson Maia ,
  • 83', Arthur Caike , Felipe Vizeu ,
  • 84', Joao Pedro , Edenilson ,
  • 84', Braithwaite M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 84', Monsalve M. , Aravena A. ,
  • 87', Costa D. 🟨,
  • 87', Walisson Maia 🟨,
  • 90', Dodi , Ronald ,
  • 90+7', Ronald Lopes 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio
55.8%
Draw
24.9%
Criciúma
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 22.2% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6% 24.4% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.
  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Grêmio - Criciúma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.48)
    3.78
    (4.23)
    4.91
    (6.48)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Criciúma?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 73.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2.
    • Grêmio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique (Injury) Jhonata Robert (Injury) Lucas Mila (Injury) Mayk (Injury) Pavon C. (Injury) Reinaldo (Injury)
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Figueiredo T. (Injury) Guilherme (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Criciúma were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Criciúma - Grêmio 0:1
    30.08.2022 Criciúma - Grêmio 2:0
    Latest results of Grêmio
    22.09.2024 Grêmio - Flamengo 3:2
    25.08.2024 Criciúma - Grêmio 0:1
    20.08.2024 Fluminense - Grêmio 3:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    15.09.2024 Palmeiras - Criciúma 5:0
    31.08.2024 Cuiabá - Criciúma 2:1
    25.08.2024 Criciúma - Grêmio 0:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

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