Result
1:2
25/09/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 5
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 331 | 205 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 286 | 278 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Arthur Caike ⚽,
- 17', Monsalve M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Dudu ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 53', Newton 🟨,
- 56', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
- 59', Cristaldo F. ↓, Costa D. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Villasanti M. ⚽, Costa D. (A),
- 72', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 72', Matheusinho ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 72', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Ronald Lopes ⚽, Arthur Caike (A),
- 83', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 83', Arthur Caike ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,
- 84', Joao Pedro ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 84', Braithwaite M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 84', Monsalve M. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 87', Costa D. 🟨,
- 87', Walisson Maia 🟨,
- 90', Dodi ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 90+7', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
55.8% | Draw
24.9% | Criciúma
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grêmio - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.48) |
3.78 ↓
(4.23) |
4.91 ↓
(6.48) |
5.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 73.9% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2.
- Grêmio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Injury)
Jhonata Robert
(Injury)
Lucas Mila
(Injury)
Mayk
(Injury)
Pavon C.
(Injury)
Reinaldo
(Injury)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Figueiredo T.
(Injury)
Guilherme
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Criciúma?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Grêmio?
Criciúma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Criciúma were as follows:
25.08.2024
Criciúma
-
Grêmio
0:1
30.08.2022
Criciúma
-
Grêmio
2:0
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
