Criciúma vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Criciúma - Joinville
Result
0:1 penalties
02/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
174
Shots on Goal
71
Shots off Goal
103
Corner Kicks
91
Goalkeeper Saves
17
Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yalle , Joao Mafra ,
  • 46', Ruan Carvalho , Joao Carlos ,
  • 51', Matheus Trindade 🟨,
  • 54', Joao Carlos 🟨,
  • 59', Danilo Belao 🟨,
  • 61', Ryan , Juninho ,
  • 61', Marcinho , Lucas de Sa ,
  • 62', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 69', Matheus Trindade , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 72', Vinicius Paulista , Naldo ,
  • 81', Marquinhos Brazion , Danilo Matielo ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Jonathan , Werik Popo ,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Cristian Renato (Pen),
  • 1, Marcelo Hermes (Pen),
  • 2, Juninho (Pen),
  • 2, Juninho (Pen),
  • 3, Joao Mafra (Pen),
  • 3, Neto Pessoa (Pen),
  • 4, Guti (Pen),
  • 4, Everton Morelli (Pen),
  • 5, Lucas de Sa (Pen),
  • 5, Fellipe Mateus (Pen),
  • 6, Danilo Belao (Pen),
  • 6, Luiz Henrique (Pen),
  • 7, Naldo (Pen),
  • 7, Werik Popo (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Criciúma
59.2%
Draw
25.5%
Joinville
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 26.4% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 25.9% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.
  • Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Criciúma - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.76)
    3.58
    (3.4)
    5.95
    (4)
    9.7%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2.
    • Criciúma is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Joinville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Joinville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Criciúma is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:16 (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Joinville were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Criciúma - Joinville 3:0
    24.02.2024 Joinville - Criciúma 0:0
    12.02.2023 Criciúma - Joinville 1:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    25.02.2025 Operário MS - Criciúma 0:1
    22.02.2025 Avaí - Criciúma 0:3
    19.02.2025 Hercílio Luz - Criciúma 0:1
    12.02.2025 Criciúma - Caravaggio 1:2
    Latest results of Joinville
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2