Result
2:0
14/10/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (28/46) | 72% (33/46) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 48% (14/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (13/46) | 37% (17/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 43% (16/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (49/71) | 63% (47/75) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 31% (22/71) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (77/146) | 47% (69/146) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 0% (0/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Elise Mertens 66.5% | Cristina Bucsa 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Cristina Bucsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↑ (1.38) |
|
2.83 ↑ (2.71) |
6.2% (9.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Bucsa will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucsa: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Bucsa is ranked WTA: 70.
- Mertens has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bucsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mertens might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Cristina Bucsa?
Elise Mertens has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cristina Bucsa won against Elise Mertens?
Cristina Bucsa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa were as follows:
29.08.2025
Elise Mertens
-
Cristina Bucsa
1:2
11.02.2025
Elise Mertens
-
Cristina Bucsa
2:0
30.09.2024
Cristina Bucsa
-
Elise Mertens
2:1
Latest results of Elise Mertens
Latest results of Cristina Bucsa
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Osaka N. (1) | Sonobe W. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Lamens S. | Arango E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cristian J. | Cocciaretto E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Volynets K. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mertens E. (3) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Valentova T. (Q) | Eala A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sakkari M. | Krueger A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Hibino N. (WC) | Danilovic O. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Li A. (7) | Gracheva V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Garland J. (Q) | Sramkova R. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Galfi D. (Q) | Parks A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Baptiste H. | Fernandez L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bouzkova M. (5) | Shibahara E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Golubic V. | Andreescu B. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Cirstea S. | Uchijima M. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Boulter K. | Noskova L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Osaka N. (1) | Lamens S. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cristian J. | Bouzas Maneiro J. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Mertens E. (3) | Valentova T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Krueger A. | Danilovic O. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Li A. (7) | Sramkova R. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Galfi D. | Fernandez L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bouzkova M. (5) | Golubic V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Cirstea S. | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Osaka N. (1) | Cristian J. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Valentova T. | Danilovic O. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sramkova R. | Fernandez L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Golubic V. | Cirstea S. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cristian J. | Valentova T. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Fernandez L. (4) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Valentova T. | Fernandez L. (4) | 1 : 2 |