Italy vs Croatia, European Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
13:10
21/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Championship

Chances of winning


Italy
28.4%
Draw
12.1%
Croatia
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 12.8% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 13.4% 54.6%

Italy - Croatia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.23
(3.04)
7.6
(7.17)
1.55
(1.61)
8.8%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 24.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Italy - Croatia?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Croatia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 11:13.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Croatia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 196:199. (average 9.8:10).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Croatia were as follows:
    30.07.2024 Croatia - Italy 11:14
    06.07.2024 Italy - Croatia 8:9
    17.02.2024 Italy - Croatia 13:14
    11.03.2023 Italy - Croatia 14:13
    08.09.2022 Italy - Croatia 10:11
    Latest results of Italy
    19.01.2026 Greece - Italy 15:13
    17.01.2026 Georgia - Italy 14:16
    15.01.2026 Romania - Italy 6:20
    13.01.2026 Slovakia - Italy 12:17
    11.01.2026 Turkey - Italy 8:19
    Latest results of Croatia
    19.01.2026 Croatia - Turkey 22:9
    17.01.2026 Croatia - Romania 17:9
    15.01.2026 Greece - Croatia 11:10
    13.01.2026 Georgia - Croatia 7:18
    11.01.2026 Slovenia - Croatia 4:20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SerbiaItaly17 : 13
    2GreeceHungary12 : 15

    Final
    1SerbiaHungary10 : 7

    3rd place
    2ItalyGreece5 : 12