Montenegro vs Croatia, World Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo World Championship Water Polo Montenegro - Croatia
Result
13:19
24/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship - 5th-8th places - 5th place

Chances of winning


Montenegro
25.3%
Draw
12.7%
Croatia
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 12.1% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 12.3% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montenegro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Montenegro aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Croatia aligns with the current prediction.
  • Montenegro - Croatia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (3.71)
    7.16
    (7.6)
    1.48
    (1.47)
    9.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 24.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montenegro won 2.
    • Montenegro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Croatia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Croatia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Croatia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montenegro won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 185:220. (average 9.3:11).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montenegro - Croatia were as follows:
    14.07.2025 Croatia - Montenegro 13:11
    11.04.2025 Montenegro - Croatia 11:12
    28.07.2024 Croatia - Montenegro 11:8
    08.01.2024 Montenegro - Croatia 15:13
    23.07.2023 Croatia - Montenegro 12:13
    Latest results of Montenegro
    22.07.2025 Italy - Montenegro 8:12
    20.07.2025 Spain - Montenegro 14:5
    18.07.2025 Canada - Montenegro 10:22
    16.07.2025 China - Montenegro 8:13
    14.07.2025 Croatia - Montenegro 13:11
    Latest results of Croatia
    22.07.2025 USA - Croatia 9:14
    20.07.2025 Croatia - Hungary 12:18
    16.07.2025 Greece - Croatia 9:10
    14.07.2025 Croatia - Montenegro 13:11
    12.07.2025 China - Croatia 6:25
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ItalyBye
    2BrazilGreece5 : 17
    3SpainBye
    4CanadaMontenegro10 : 22
    5USABye
    6SerbiaJapan21 : 14
    7CroatiaBye
    8RomaniaHungary11 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1ItalyGreece11 : 17
    2SpainMontenegro14 : 5
    3USASerbia9 : 14
    4CroatiaHungary12 : 18

    Semi-finals
    1GreeceSpain9 : 11
    2SerbiaHungary18 : 19

    Final
    1SpainHungary15 : 13

    3rd place
    2GreeceSerbia16 : 7