Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Bellodi G. ⚽,
- 28', Pugliese S. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Guadagni G. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 1, Gomez G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zunno M. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
- 46', Meli M. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
- 51', Sandri M. 🟨,
- 62', Pugliese S. ↓, Bianchi S. ↑,
- 62', Franco D. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
- 66', Energe A. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
- 68', Musso A. 🟨,
- 69', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
- 78', Guadagni G. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Baldassin L. ⚽,
- 81', Guerra W. ↓, Bruno K. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Kanoute M. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Picerno
27.3% | Draw
29.8% | Crotone
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Picerno - Crotone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↓
(3.53) |
3.08 ↓
(3.27) |
2.15 ↑
(1.98) |
8.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Picerno - Crotone?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crotone will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crotone will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2.
- Recent performances by Picerno have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crotone is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Picerno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Crotone is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Picerno won against Crotone?
Picerno has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crotone won against Picerno?
Crotone has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Picerno - Crotone were as follows:
04.10.2025
Crotone
-
Picerno
3:0
27.01.2025
Crotone
-
Picerno
0:0
22.09.2024
Picerno
-
Crotone
5:2
07.05.2024
Picerno
-
Crotone
2:0
15.02.2024
Picerno
-
Crotone
0:0
Latest results of Picerno
Latest results of Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:21 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | Catania | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 49:18 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Cosenza | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 59 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 57 |
| 5 | Casertana | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | Crotone | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 50:32 | 18 | 52 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Casarano | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 10 | Potenza | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Altamura | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 45:44 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Cavese | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 36 |
| 14 | Latina | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Picerno | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37:51 | -14 | 32 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 31 |
| 18 | Trapani | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:49 | -8 | 27 |
| 20 | Foggia | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25:54 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
