Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo vs Crucero del Norte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
115
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
228
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Perez L. ,
  • 28', Rodriguez A. , Olego M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Camano J. , Ramos M. ,
  • 46', Amaya M. , Monges S. ,
  • 63', Silva L. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Santa Cruz M. ,
  • 65', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 68', Latof B. , Principiano L. ,
  • 68', Bertacin J. , Marnini N. ,
  • 69', Silva L. , Aguirre H. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Perez L. ,
  • 85', Perez L. , Vega A. ,
  • 85', Roa Meza J. J. , Bueno ,
  • 87', Monzon L. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Vega A. ,

Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
68.5%
Draw
19.1%
Crucero del Norte
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 26.5% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 25.4% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo's performance.
  • Crucero del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Crucero del Norte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.59)
    4.83
    (3.44)
    7.42
    (5.58)
    8.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Crucero del Norte?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Def Belgrano VR (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Def Belgrano VR (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1.
    • Def Belgrano VR has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crucero del Norte is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Def Belgrano VR is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig761011:4719
    29 de Julio Rafaela741215:9613
    3Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    4Chivilcoy73226:6011
    5Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    6Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    7El Linqueno72236:10-48
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas71334:7-36
    10Gimnasia E.R70165:14-91


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin Formosa63218:5311
    2Sol de America63127:4310
    3Defensores de Vilelas731311:10110
    4Juventud Antoniana63127:7010
    5Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    6Boca Unidos622210:918
    7Tucuman Central62135:8-37
    8Sarmiento Resistencia70617:9-26
    9Sarmiento de La Banda60333:7-43


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti732210:9111
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Argentino MM62314:319
    5Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    6Deportivo Rincon62227:708
    7Costa Brava71426:517
    8Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25
    9San Martin Mendoza61231:5-45


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Germinal62314:319
    5Alvarado72324:409
    6Santamarina61416:427
    7Villa Mitre61323:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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