Crusaders vs Ballymena United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 38
  • Referee: McKenna M. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
28
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
68
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
36
Corner kicks
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Thorndike F. ,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Maguire T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 28', Rocks D. , Mccallion D. ,
  • 36', 3 - 0, Jewitt-White H. ,
  • 41', 3 - 1, Edogun S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', McEleney S. , Clarke M. ,
  • 46', Hood J. , Corbally K. ,
  • 57', 3 - 2, Edogun S. ,
  • 58', Ali G. 🟨,
  • 62', McGeouch D. , Murray S. ,
  • 71', O’Reilly J. 🟨,
  • 74', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crusaders
16%
Draw
21.1%
Ballymena United
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 26.7% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 26.7% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.
  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballymena United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crusaders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballymena United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crusaders - Ballymena United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.03
    (3.1)
    4.59
    (3.44)
    1.54
    (2.1)
    3.4%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Crusaders - Ballymena United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ballymena United will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Crusaders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ballymena United is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Ballymena United were as follows:
    17.02.2026 Ballymena United - Crusaders 2:0
    22.11.2025 Ballymena United - Crusaders 2:2
    20.09.2025 Crusaders - Ballymena United 1:1
    15.02.2025 Crusaders - Ballymena United 3:1
    26.10.2024 Crusaders - Ballymena United 1:0
    Latest results of Crusaders
    18.04.2026 Glenavon - Crusaders 0:1
    11.04.2026 Crusaders - Portadown 4:0
    07.04.2026 Crusaders - Bangor 1:1
    21.03.2026 Portadown - Crusaders 0:0
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AnnaghCrusaders2 : 3