Result
33:48
16/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 80 | 75 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 125 | 97 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 278 | 507 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 31)
- 3', McNicholl J. (Try),
- 5', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Ennor B. (Try),
- 10', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
- 16', Moananu I. (Try),
- 17', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 23', Gleeson L. (Try),
- 23', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Fihaki C. (Try),
- 29', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Leota R. ↓, Sinclair H. ↑,
- 40+2', Grace C. (Try),
- 40+3', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (26 - 17)
- 41', Botha D. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 45', Gleeson L. (Try),
- 46', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Williams T. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
- 50', Moananu I. ↓, Bell G. ↑,
- 50', Sykes-Martin K. ↓, Calder S. ↑,
- 50', Strange Q. ↓, Cahill T. ↑,
- 50', Ennor B. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
- 51', McNicholl J. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
- 53', Amatosero M. (Try),
- 53', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Lio-Willie C. ↓, Kellow C. ↑,
- 59', Reece S. (Try),
- 60', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 62', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
- 64', Porecki D. ↓, Vailanu M. ↑,
- 65', O'Donnell H. ↓, Foketi L. ↑,
- 65', Bell A. ↓, Lambert T. ↑,
- 65', Lee-Warner F. ↓, Grant B. ↑,
- 68', Edmed T. ↓, Bowen J. ↑,
- 71', Lancaster D. (Try),
- 73', Bowen J. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', O'Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
- 77', Christie T. (Try),
- 78', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Reilly T. (Try),
- 80', Bowen J. (Missed Conversion),
Chances of winning
Waratahs
37.2% | Draw
4.3% | Crusaders
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waratahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waratahs's performance.Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waratahs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crusaders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Waratahs - Crusaders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(3.26) |
21.68 ↓
(24) |
1.57 ↑
(1.38) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 52.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 3.
- Recent form of Waratahs has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Crusaders is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Waratahs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Crusaders is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 343:414. (average 24.5:29.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waratahs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 202:222. (average 25.3:27.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Waratahs won against Crusaders?
Waratahs has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crusaders won against Waratahs?
Crusaders has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waratahs - Crusaders were as follows:
12.04.2024
Waratahs
-
Crusaders
43:40
02.03.2024
Crusaders
-
Waratahs
24:37
27.05.2023
Crusaders
-
Waratahs
42:18
Latest results of Waratahs
Latest results of Crusaders
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
