Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (219/278) | 80% (343/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (219/278) | 80% (343/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (70/100) | 54% (38/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Lainez D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ibanez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 0, Joaquim (Own goal),
- 60', 2 - 0, Ibanez N. ⚽,
- 61', Araujo C. ↓, Brunetta J. ↑,
- 61', Flores M. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
- 64', Rotondi C. 🟨,
- 69', Sanchez J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 69', Rodriguez C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 69', Campos O. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Correa A. ⚽, Lorona V. (A),
- 76', Paradela J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
- 77', Marquez J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 83', Lorona V. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90', Ibanez N. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
- 90+5', Joaquim 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
39.9% | Draw
29.5% | Tigres UANL
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres UANL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.19) |
3.16 ↑
(2.93) |
3.05 ↓
(3.63) |
6.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Tigres (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
- Cruz Azul has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tigres is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cruz Azul will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K.
(Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Tigres UANL?
Cruz Azul has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Cruz Azul?
Tigres UANL has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL were as follows:
06.12.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Cruz Azul
1:1
03.12.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
04.10.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Cruz Azul
1:1
01.05.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Tigres UANL
1:0
23.04.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Cruz Azul
1:1
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Club America | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Atlas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Juarez | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 14 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Puebla | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
