Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Estrella TV, NBC Universo, Telemundo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (237/309) | 88% (517/590) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (237/309) | 88% (517/590) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/104) | 73% (90/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Farfan M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 0, Brunetta J. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
- 57', Piovi G. 🟨,
- 67', Faravelli L. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
- 74', Herrera O. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
- 75', Paradela J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 75', Romero L. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
- 75', Angulo J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 82', Sanchez J. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 82', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 83', Brunetta J. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 90+6', Guzman N. 🟨,
- 90+7', Joaquim 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Sepulveda A. (Pen),
- 90+11', Aquino J. 🟨,
- 90+12', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
45% | Draw
26.4% | Cruz Azul
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.35) |
3.55
(3.55) |
3.26 ↑
(2.7) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Cruz Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tigres could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Tigres: Sanchez Guevara D. A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Levy M.
(International duty)
Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
Morales A.
(Inactive)
Ochoa E.
(Inactive)
Rodarte J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Romulo
(Ankle Injury)
Tapia F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Cruz Azul?
Tigres UANL has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Tigres UANL?
Cruz Azul has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul were as follows:
01.05.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Tigres UANL
1:0
23.04.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Cruz Azul
1:1
15.02.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Cruz Azul
2:1
09.11.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
17.02.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Tigres UANL
1:0
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
