Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Tigres UANL
39.3%
Draw
26.4%
Cruz Azul
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 26.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.7% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.35)
    3.5
    (3.55)
    2.7
    (2.7)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1.
    • Tigres is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cruz Azul is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cruz Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 1:0
    23.04.2025 Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul 1:1
    15.02.2025 Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul 2:1
    09.11.2024 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 1:1
    17.02.2024 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 1:0
    Latest results of Tigres UANL
    24.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Atlas 2:0
    20.09.2025 UNAM - Tigres UANL 1:1
    13.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Club León 0:0
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    24.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Querétaro 2:2
    19.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Juárez 3:2
    13.09.2025 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 0:1
    23.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1181231:141725
    2Monterrey1181223:17625
    3Club America1173123:111224
    4Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Juarez1153315:12318
    7Pachuca1152415:13217
    8Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Club Leon1133510:18-812
    12Atl. San Luis1131716:18-210
    13Santos Laguna1131713:18-510
    14Atlas1124518:26-810
    15Necaxa1123611:20-99
    16Mazatlan FC1115513:20-78
    17Queretaro1022611:18-78
    18Puebla111289:26-175

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )