Result
4:3
04/10/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Grimaldo N. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 1, Borgella R. ⚽,
- 38', Gutierrez I. ↓, Lomeli A. ↑,
- 39', 3 - 1, Chavarin A. ⚽,
- 43', 3 - 2, Magaia H. ⚽,
- 45+3', Blackwood D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Robe L. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 3, Hancar K. ⚽,
- 57', Magaia H. ↓, Rojo N. ↑,
- 63', Motau A. 🟨,
- 67', Martinez A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 67', Grimaldo N. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 72', Diaz K. 🟨,
- 80', Valdez V. ↓, Calderon D. ↑,
- 83', Fuentes D. 🟨,
- 89', 4 - 3, Calderon D. ⚽,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
64.2% | Draw
19.6% | Tijuana
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-18.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cruz Azul - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(2.08) |
4.9 ↑
(3.2) |
6.04 ↑
(3.25) |
6.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Tijuana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Cruz Azul (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -0.5 - Cruz Azul (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
- Cruz Azul has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tijuana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:15. (average 1.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Tijuana?
Cruz Azul has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Cruz Azul?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Tijuana were as follows:
12.01.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Tijuana
1:1
22.08.2024
Tijuana
-
Cruz Azul
3:0
22.03.2024
Tijuana
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
15.10.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Tijuana
3:6
15.01.2023
Tijuana
-
Cruz Azul
1:1
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 36:24 | 12 | 24 |
| 8 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Juarez W | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 22 |
| 11 | Atlas W | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 | Queretaro W | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:42 | -26 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16:36 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:34 | -25 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7:51 | -44 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
