Alianza Valledupar vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro
Result
0:3
07/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.37
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1215
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
710
Free Kicks
618
Corner Kicks
29
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
2214
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
177
Yellow Cards
32
Attacks
8086
Dangerous Attacks
3237

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Blanco R. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Lucas Silva , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 44', Batalla E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Blanco R. , Renteria A. ,
  • 46', Navarro E. , Castillo J. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Arthur Gomes ,
  • 55', William Furtado 🟨,
  • 56', Manjarres R. , Colpa Bolano R. R. ,
  • 57', Orozco S. 🟨,
  • 64', Arthur Gomes , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 64', Munoz J. , Gil M. ,
  • 65', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 71', Barreal A. , Villalba L. ,
  • 71', Rafa Silva , Rafael Elias ,
  • 73', Batalla E. , Torres M. ,
  • 85', Lucas Silva , Ramiro ,
  • 85', Ze Ivaldo , Neris ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Rafael Elias ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
16%
Draw
23.6%
Cruzeiro
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 25% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 23.2% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.9
    (5)
    3.96
    (3.75)
    1.55
    (1.66)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alianza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Cruzeiro - Alianza Valledupar 3:3
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    17.04.2024 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 1:1
    14.04.2024 Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2