Alianza Valledupar vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
07/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.37
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1215
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
710
Free Kicks
618
Corner Kicks
29
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
2214
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
177
Yellow Cards
32
Attacks
8086
Dangerous Attacks
3237

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Blanco R. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Lucas Silva , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 44', Batalla E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Blanco R. , Renteria A. ,
  • 46', Navarro E. , Castillo J. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Arthur Gomes ,
  • 55', William Furtado 🟨,
  • 56', Manjarres R. , Colpa Bolano R. R. ,
  • 57', Orozco S. 🟨,
  • 64', Arthur Gomes , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 64', Munoz J. , Gil M. ,
  • 65', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 71', Barreal A. , Villalba L. ,
  • 71', Rafa Silva , Rafael Elias ,
  • 73', Batalla E. , Torres M. ,
  • 85', Lucas Silva , Ramiro ,
  • 85', Ze Ivaldo , Neris ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Rafael Elias ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
16%
Draw
23.6%
Cruzeiro
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 25% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 23.2% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.9
    (5)
    3.96
    (3.75)
    1.55
    (1.66)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alianza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Cruzeiro - Alianza Valledupar 3:3
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    17.04.2024 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 1:1
    14.04.2024 Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ 3:2
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo22003:036
    2O'Higgins21012:203
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City22003:036
    2Gremio21011:103
    3Dep. Riestra20110:1-11
    4Palestino20110:2-21


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2A. Italiano21012:3-13
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4Vasco20111:2-11


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)