Result
0:0
18/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 73% (195/268) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 73% (195/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/111) | 60% (50/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Rony 🟨,
- 18', Guilherme Arana ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 32', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 40', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Igor Gomes ↓, Patrick Silva ↑,
- 46', Lyanco 🟨,
- 50', Alonso J. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Menino ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
- 74', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 75', Wanderson ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 84', Christian ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 85', Fausto Vera 🟨,
- 88', Fagner ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 89', Junior Santos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
37.6% | Draw
30.7% | Atlético Mineiro
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.3) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
2.99 ↓
(3.21) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
- Cruzeiro has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Atlético MG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Yellow Cards)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Gabriel Menino
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Dudu
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Atlético Mineiro?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Cruzeiro?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
09.02.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:2
18.01.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
10.08.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
20.04.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
3:0
07.04.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:3
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
