Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (275/339) | 84% (353/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (275/339) | 84% (353/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (104/139) | 71% (77/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 32', Preciado A. ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 44', Victor Hugo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Bernard ⚽,
- 62', Lucas Silva ↓, Gerson ↑,
- 67', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 67', Victor Hugo ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Hulk ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
- 70', Wanderson ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 73', Gustavo Scarpa 🟨,
- 73', Franco A. 🟨,
- 75', Hulk ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 75', Dudu ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 83', Romero L. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 83', Christian ↓, Japa ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
33.4% | Draw
30.8% | Cruzeiro
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.61) |
2.99 ↓
(3.12) |
2.58 ↓
(2.61) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Cruzeiro?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Atlético Mineiro?
Cruzeiro has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro were as follows:
15.10.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
11.09.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
27.08.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
18.05.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
09.02.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | URT | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Uberlandia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 4 | Democrata GV | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America MG | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Tombense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Pouso Alegre | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 10 |
| 4 | Betim | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | North Esporte Clube | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Itabirito | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Athletic Club | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
Ranking of second-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | North Esporte Clube | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Tombense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Atletico-MG | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Mineiro (Play Offs: )
