Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/344) | 79% (276/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/344) | 79% (276/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (73/115) | 62% (41/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Kaiki 🟨,
- 16', Cisse M. ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 26', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 33', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Gerson (A),
- 64', Gerson ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 66', Bernard ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 66', Victor Hugo ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 71', Natanael 🟨,
- 74', Lucas Silva ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 76', Igor Gomes ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 76', Natanael ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 76', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 83', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
- 87', Kaio Jorge ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 90+4', Lodi R. 🟨,
- 90+6', William Furtado 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
53.7% | Draw
29.3% | Atlético Mineiro
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.28) |
3.56 ↑
(3.03) |
6.14 ↑
(3.05) |
-4.1%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
- Cruzeiro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlético MG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cruzeiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Atlético Mineiro?
Cruzeiro has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Cruzeiro?
Atlético Mineiro has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
25.01.2026
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
15.10.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
11.09.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
27.08.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
18.05.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Cruzeiro | Atletico-MG | 1 : 0 |
