Result
4:0
29/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (331/379) | 86% (387/449) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (331/379) | 86% (387/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 31% (9/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (71/88) | 69% (76/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 45+4', Allan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, Danilo ⚽, Arthur Cabral (A),
- 56', Wanderson ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 63', Arthur Cabral ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 63', Allan ↓, Artur ↑,
- 63', Anselmi M. 🟨,
- 65', Lucas Silva ↓, Christian ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Matheus Martins ⚽, Montoro A. (A),
- 78', Gerson ↓, Kenji ↑,
- 78', Romero L. ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 78', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 81', Montoro A. ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 81', Alex Telles ↓, Marcal ↑,
- 83', Kenji 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 0, Danilo ⚽, Nathan Fernandes (A),
- 88', Rodriguez S. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 0, Artur ⚽,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
37% | Draw
31.1% | Cruzeiro
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.49) |
3.04 ↓
(3.05) |
2.95 ↑
(2.92) |
5.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Cruzeiro (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Botafogo (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 50%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
- Botafogo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Correa J.
(Inactive)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Villalba L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Sinisterra L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 10 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Cruzeiro?
Botafogo RJ has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Botafogo RJ?
Cruzeiro has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro were as follows:
04.12.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
03.08.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
27.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Cruzeiro
0:3
14.04.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Botafogo RJ
3:2
03.12.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bragantino | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sao Paulo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Bahia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Gremio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Internacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Remo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
