Botafogo RJ vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro
Result
0:2
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 3, Sport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.58
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
84% (410/488)80% (306/383)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.501.84
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
715
Passes
84% (410/488)80% (306/383)
Long passes
54% (27/50)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)71% (75/106)
Crosses
28% (7/25)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.87
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
157
Tackles
57% (8/14)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
1531
Interceptions
516
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.840.50
Goals prevented
-0.160.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', Barboza A. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Christian , Kaiki (A),
  • 26', Christian 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Matheus Pereira , Kaio Jorge (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kaio , David Ricardo ,
  • 54', Allan 🟨,
  • 59', Artur , Correa J. ,
  • 59', Alex Telles , Cuiabano ,
  • 59', Allan , Newton ,
  • 61', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 70', Marlon Freitas , Danilo ,
  • 70', Wanderson , Marquinhos ,
  • 75', Correa J. 🟨,
  • 89', Matheus Pereira , Eduardo ,
  • 89', Christian , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 90+4', Kaio Jorge , Diaz L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
36.9%
Draw
31.7%
Cruzeiro
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 29.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 31.2% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.33)
    3.28
    (3.19)
    3.28
    (3.19)
    -4.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: Botafogo RJ will win (69 of 79 users predict this - 87.34%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.01%94.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
    • Botafogo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Botafogo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Danilo Barbosa (Inactive) Jeffinho (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Danilo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.04.2024 Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ 3:2
    03.12.2023 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:0
    06.08.2023 Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    30.07.2025 Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio 0:0
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    23.07.2025 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 0:0
    20.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Juventude 4:0
    17.07.2025 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 0:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ29187456:164061
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Fortaleza29761627:44-1727
    19Juventude29751723:53-3026
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet