Result
0:2
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (410/488) | 80% (306/383) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 1.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.50 | 1.84 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
84% (410/488) | 80% (306/383) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (27/50) | 47% (27/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (94/133) | 71% (75/106) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (7/25) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.97 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (8/14) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.84 | 0.50 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.16 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Christian ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 26', Christian 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kaio ↓, David Ricardo ↑,
- 54', Allan 🟨,
- 59', Artur ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 59', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 59', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
- 61', Kaiki 🟨,
- 70', Marlon Freitas ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 70', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 75', Correa J. 🟨,
- 89', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 89', Christian ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 90+4', Kaio Jorge ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ 36.9% | Draw 31.7% | Cruzeiro 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.93 ↑ (2.33) |
3.28 ↑ (3.19) |
3.28 ↑ (3.19) |
-4.7% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(69 of 79 users predict this - 87.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.01% – 94.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
- Botafogo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Botafogo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo Barbosa
(Inactive)
Jeffinho
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Danilo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Cruzeiro?
Botafogo RJ has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Botafogo RJ?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro were as follows:
27.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Cruzeiro
0:3
14.04.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Botafogo RJ
3:2
03.12.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
06.08.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet