Cruzeiro vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/12/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainMovistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.56
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
84% (285/341)83% (368/446)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.232.24
Total shots
109
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
84% (285/341)83% (368/446)
Long passes
56% (28/50)58% (46/79)
Passes in final third
76% (80/105)70% (87/124)
Crosses
14% (2/14)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.46
Throw-ins
1026
Fouls
1215
Tackles
83% (15/18)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
4014
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.242.23
Goals prevented
0.240.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Christian , Sinisterra L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 0, Matheus Pereira ,
  • 53', Cuiabano , Montoro A. ,
  • 54', Lucas Silva 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Marcal ,
  • 65', Barrera J. 🟨,
  • 67', Cassio 🟨,
  • 69', Sinisterra L. , Arroyo K. ,
  • 69', Kaio Jorge , Eduardo ,
  • 70', Allan 🟨,
  • 85', Allan , Newton ,
  • 85', Vitinho , Kauan Toledo ,
  • 86', Lucas Silva , Walace ,
  • 89', Barrera J. , Barria K. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Alex Telles (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+6', Christian , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 90+6', Matheus Pereira , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 90+12', David Ricardo 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
54.5%
Draw
27.1%
Botafogo RJ
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 29.1% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 31.7% 23.1%

Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.74
(2.07)
3.48
(3.25)
5.18
(3.75)
5.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 60.7%93.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Botafogo (2.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Gabriel Barbosa (Yellow Cards) Janderson (Knee Injury) Lucas Silva (Yellow Cards) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Wanderson (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A. (Knee Injury) Bastos (Knee Injury) Danilo (Injury) Jeffinho (Red Card) Kaio (Knee Injury) Matheus Martins (Muscle Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury) Ponte M. (Yellow Cards) Rodriguez S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Montoro A. (Injury) Ramos C. (Injury) Savarino J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 10 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:2
    27.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.04.2024 Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ 3:2
    03.12.2023 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:0
    06.08.2023 Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    29.11.2025 Ceará - Cruzeiro 1:1
    23.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 3:0
    20.11.2025 Juventude - Cruzeiro 3:3
    09.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Fluminense 0:0
    05.11.2025 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 0:1
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 382310578:275179
    2Palmeiras ✔ 38237866:333376
    3Cruzeiro ✔ 381913655:312470
    4Mirassol ✔ 381813763:392467
    5Fluminense381971250:391164
    6Botafogo RJ381712958:382063
    7Bahia381791250:46460
    8Sao Paulo ✔ 381491543:47-451
    9Gremio3813101547:50-349
    10Bragantino ✔ 381461845:57-1248
    11Atletico-MG3812121443:44-148
    12Santos3812111545:50-547
    13Corinthians3812111542:47-547
    14Vasco381361955:60-545
    15Vitoria3811121535:52-1745
    16Internacional3811111644:57-1344
    17Ceara3811101734:40-643
    18Fortaleza3811101743:58-1543
    19Juventude ✔ 38982135:69-3435
    20Sport Recife ✔ 382112528:75-4717

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
    Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
    Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
    Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet