Result
0:0
22/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 27
- Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | MEGOGO |
World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 15 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 9 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Total Passes |
---|
480 | 506 |
Completed Passes |
---|
400 | 424 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Peralta F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Peralta F. ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 58', Mateus Vital ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
- 58', Gabriel Veron ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 66', Kaiki ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 71', Derik Lacerda ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 71', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
- 72', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 81', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 83', Joao Marcelo 🟥,
- 90+2', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Max Alves ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá 31.5% | Draw 32.4% | Cruzeiro 36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Cuiabá - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.99 ↑ (2.58) |
2.92 ↓ (3.23) |
2.63 ↓ (2.78) |
5.7% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cuiabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Rafa Silva
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Cruzeiro?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Cuiabá?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Cruzeiro were as follows:
13.06.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Cuiabá
2:1
14.10.2023
Cuiabá
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
22.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Cuiabá
0:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet