Result
0:0
22/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 27
- Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 480 | 506 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 400 | 424 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Peralta F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Peralta F. ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 58', Mateus Vital ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
- 58', Gabriel Veron ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 66', Kaiki ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 71', Derik Lacerda ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 71', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
- 72', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 81', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 83', Joao Marcelo 🟥,
- 90+2', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Max Alves ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
31.5% | Draw
32.4% | Cruzeiro
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Cuiabá - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.58) |
2.92 ↓
(3.23) |
2.63 ↓
(2.78) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cuiabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Rafa Silva
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Cruzeiro?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Cuiabá?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Cruzeiro were as follows:
13.06.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Cuiabá
2:1
14.10.2023
Cuiabá
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
22.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Cuiabá
0:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 36:20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
