Cruzeiro vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
17/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
99
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
99
Shots off target
88
Corner Kicks
15
Goalkeeper Saves
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Camila Ambrozio 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Gaby Soares ,
  • 18', Andressa Pereira , Rafa Soares ,
  • 20', Fatima Dutra 🟨,
  • 24', Byanca Brasil , Sochor ,
  • 45+4', Paloma 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Vendito ,
  • 62', Julia Beatriz , Catyellen ,
  • 64', Gisseli , Clara ,
  • 65', Pri Back , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 65', Leticia Alves , Marilia ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Leticia Ferreira ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Rafa Soares (Own goal),
  • 78', Luana 🟨,
  • 79', Nicoly , Raquel ,
  • 79', Millene , Mylena Carioca ,
  • 84', Leticia Ferreira , Gio Oliveira ,
  • 85', Sochor 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
43.3%
Draw
28.9%
Ferroviária
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 26.5% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 24.8% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Cruzeiro - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.14)
    3.13
    (3.45)
    3.26
    (2.96)
    10.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Cruzeiro has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cruzeiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Ferroviária were as follows:
    29.03.2024 Ferroviária - Cruzeiro 1:0
    05.06.2023 Cruzeiro - Ferroviária 1:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    11.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 1:0
    05.05.2025 Real Brasilia - Cruzeiro 0:3
    30.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 1:1
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    14.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ferroviária 1:0
    11.05.2025 Ferroviária - Corinthians 1:1
    08.05.2025 Ferroviária - Taubaté 6:0
    04.05.2025 Ferroviária - Flamengo 1:2
    01.05.2025 Fluminense - Ferroviária 1:1
    Brasileiro Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras W22006:156
    2Flamengo W22005:236
    3Sao Paulo W22004:226
    4Cruzeiro W21103:124
    5Santos W21103:214
    6Corinthians W21103:214
    7Fluminense W21103:214
    8Internacional W21013:213
    9Bragantino W21014:403
    10Botafogo RJ W21013:303
    11Ferroviaria W21012:3-13
    12Mixto W20112:3-11
    13Vitoria W20112:3-11
    14Juventude W20111:2-11
    15Atletico-MG W20110:1-11
    16Gremio W20022:4-20
    17Bahia W20021:4-30
    18America Mineiro W20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women