Mirassol vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Cruzeiro
Result
1:1
18/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 20
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.19
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (255/322)80% (305/382)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.02
Total shots
218
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
79% (255/322)80% (305/382)
Long passes
42% (10/24)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
74% (99/134)68% (56/82)
Crosses
24% (8/34)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.31
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1613
Tackles
75% (15/20)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5063
Clearances
1934
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.020.64
Goals prevented
0.02-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 33', Walace 🟨,
  • 41', Jemmes 🟨,
  • 45+4', Wanderson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Kaua Prates 🟨,
  • 58', Carlos Eduardo , Negueba ,
  • 63', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Negueba , Danielzinho (A),
  • 70', Edson Carioca , Alesson ,
  • 70', Jose Aldo , Chico Kim ,
  • 71', Walace , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 77', Neto Moura , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 77', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 83', Wanderson , Diaz L. ,
  • 85', Cassio 🟨,
  • 86', Chico Kim 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
29.8%
Draw
29.5%
Cruzeiro
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 30.3% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 30.9% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cruzeiro aligns with the current prediction.
  • Mirassol - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.2)
    3.34
    (3.13)
    2.37
    (2.38)
    1.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Joao Victor (Yellow Cards) PH (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Christian (Yellow Cards) Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Kaiki (Yellow Cards) Romero L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Calf Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    09.08.2025 Flamengo - Mirassol 2:1
    02.08.2025 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 3:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    19.07.2025 Mirassol - Santos 3:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    07.08.2025 CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro 0:2
    03.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:2
    30.07.2025 Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio 0:0
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet