Result
1:1
18/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.35 | 1.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (255/322) | 80% (305/382) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.35 | 1.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.64 | 1.02 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
79% (255/322) | 80% (305/382) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (10/24) | 47% (28/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (99/134) | 68% (56/82) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (8/34) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.51 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
30 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (15/20) | 63% (12/19) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 63 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.02 | 0.64 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 33', Walace 🟨,
- 41', Jemmes 🟨,
- 45+4', Wanderson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Kaua Prates 🟨,
- 58', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 63', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Negueba ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 70', Edson Carioca ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 70', Jose Aldo ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 71', Walace ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 77', Neto Moura ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 77', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 83', Wanderson ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 85', Cassio 🟨,
- 86', Chico Kim 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol 29.8% | Draw 29.5% | Cruzeiro 40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Cruzeiro aligns with the current prediction.
Mirassol - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.38 ↑ (3.2) |
3.34 ↑ (3.13) |
2.37 ↓ (2.38) |
1.7% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Joao Victor
(Yellow Cards)
PH
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Christian
(Yellow Cards)
Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Kaiki
(Yellow Cards)
Romero L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Calf Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Cruzeiro?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Mirassol?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Cruzeiro were as follows:
29.03.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Mirassol
2:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet