Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 82% (374/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 82% (374/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/92) | 65% (71/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.92 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 59 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', Jemmes 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Dudu ⚽, William Furtado (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, William Furtado (A),
- 30', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
- 33', Walace 🟨,
- 44', Reinaldo (Pen),
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Lucas Ramon ⚽, Clayson (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Walace ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 49', Romero L. 🟨,
- 59', Maceio ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 64', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 71', Kaio Jorge ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
- 71', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 71', Iury Castilho ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
- 72', Wanderson ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 77', Chico Kim ↓, Matheus Davo ↑,
- 77', Clayson ↓, Luiz Filipe ↑,
- 83', Dudu ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 85', Edson Carioca 🟨,
- 89', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
- 90+1', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+4', Cassio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
59.9% | Draw
25.8% | Mirassol
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3%)
Cruzeiro - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
3.69 ↓
(3.75) |
6.66 ↑
(6.48) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Mirassol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Cruzeiro is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: PH
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Mirassol?
Cruzeiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Cruzeiro?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Mirassol were as follows:
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
