Result
1:1
18/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (255/322) | 80% (305/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (255/322) | 80% (305/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (99/134) | 68% (56/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 33', Walace 🟨,
- 41', Jemmes 🟨,
- 45+4', Wanderson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Kaua Prates 🟨,
- 58', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 63', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Negueba ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 70', Edson Carioca ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 70', Jose Aldo ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 71', Walace ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 77', Neto Moura ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 77', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 83', Wanderson ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 85', Cassio 🟨,
- 86', Chico Kim 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
29.8% | Draw
29.5% | Cruzeiro
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Cruzeiro aligns with the current prediction.
Mirassol - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(3.2) |
3.34 ↑
(3.13) |
2.37 ↓
(2.38) |
1.7%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Joao Victor
(Yellow Cards)
PH
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Christian
(Yellow Cards)
Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Kaiki
(Yellow Cards)
Romero L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Calf Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Cruzeiro?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Mirassol?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Cruzeiro were as follows:
29.03.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Mirassol
2:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
