Mirassol vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Cruzeiro
Result
1:1
18/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 20
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.19
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (255/322)80% (305/382)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.02
Total shots
218
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
79% (255/322)80% (305/382)
Long passes
42% (10/24)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
74% (99/134)68% (56/82)
Crosses
24% (8/34)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.31
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1613
Tackles
75% (15/20)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5063
Clearances
1934
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.020.64
Goals prevented
0.02-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 33', Walace 🟨,
  • 41', Jemmes 🟨,
  • 45+4', Wanderson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Kaua Prates 🟨,
  • 58', Carlos Eduardo , Negueba ,
  • 63', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Negueba , Danielzinho (A),
  • 70', Edson Carioca , Alesson ,
  • 70', Jose Aldo , Chico Kim ,
  • 71', Walace , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 77', Neto Moura , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 77', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 83', Wanderson , Diaz L. ,
  • 85', Cassio 🟨,
  • 86', Chico Kim 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
29.8%
Draw
29.5%
Cruzeiro
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 30.3% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 30.9% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cruzeiro aligns with the current prediction.
  • Mirassol - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.2)
    3.34
    (3.13)
    2.37
    (2.38)
    1.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Joao Victor (Yellow Cards) PH (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Christian (Yellow Cards) Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Kaiki (Yellow Cards) Romero L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Calf Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    09.08.2025 Flamengo - Mirassol 2:1
    02.08.2025 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 3:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    19.07.2025 Mirassol - Santos 3:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    07.08.2025 CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro 0:2
    03.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:2
    30.07.2025 Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio 0:0
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet