Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Celta de Vigo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
1:1
29/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.871.29
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
23
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
41
Passes
86% (457/534)82% (342/416)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.871.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.96
Total shots
125
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
31
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1812
Passes
86% (457/534)82% (342/416)
Long passes
50% (30/60)45% (18/40)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)71% (68/96)
Crosses
41% (7/17)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.79
Throw ins
1317
Fouls
1218
Tackles
50% (8/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5140
Clearances
2435
Interceptions
135
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.960.70
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Roman M. 🟨,
  • 42', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kostov V. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
  • 50', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Avdic A. ↑,
  • 61', Katai A. ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
  • 62', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
  • 62', Aspas I. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
  • 69', Alvarez H. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
  • 73', Lucic V. 🟨,
  • 79', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
  • 79', Stankovic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
  • 82', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
  • 82', Lago Y. ↓, Ristic M. ↑,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Bruno Duarte ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
41%		Draw
26.1%		Celta de Vigo
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 27.6% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 29% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's performance.
  • Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↓
    (2.91)    		 3.68 ↑
    (3.47)    		 2.89 ↑
    (2.42)    		 4.8%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%). Celta will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 30.9% – 63.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Celta (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Crvena Zvezda (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Celta (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Celta (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Crvena Zvezda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Sremcevic U. (Inactive) Tebo Uchenna F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Celta: Jutgla F. (Inactive) Sotelo H. (Red Card) Swedberg W. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Celta: Fernandez M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    22.01.2026 Malmö - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 0:1 ✺
    15.01.2026 Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 2:0
    11.01.2026 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Debreceni 3:1
    10.01.2026 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Aarau 4:1
    06.01.2026 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Waldhof Mannheim 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    25.01.2026 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 3:1 ✺
    22.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Lille 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺
    12.01.2026 Sevilla - Celta de Vigo 0:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Valencia 4:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)2 : 1
    2Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 2
    3Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)1 : 3
    4PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)1 : 2
    5Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 4
    6Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)0 : 3
    7Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1
    8Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)0 : 1
    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye
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