Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs FCSB – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 9
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 10
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 17, Blue Sport 17
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.71
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
73% (252/345)81% (442/547)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.060.25
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
159
Passes
73% (252/345)81% (442/547)
Long passes
45% (28/62)50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
64% (76/119)70% (103/148)
Crosses
24% (5/21)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.06
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
915
Tackles
36% (5/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4641
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.252.06
Goals prevented
0.251.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟥,
  • 27', Seol Young-Woo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thiam M. , Cisotti J. ,
  • 46', Lixandru M. , Tanase F. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Bruno Duarte , Seol Young-Woo (A),
  • 63', Olaru D. 🟨,
  • 70', Bruno Duarte , Rodrigo ,
  • 75', Olaru D. , Popescu O. ,
  • 81', Handel T. , Milson ,
  • 85', Cretu V. , Pantea A. ,
  • 85', Miculescu D. , Politic D. ,
  • 86', Arnautovic M. , Katai A. ,

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
68.9%
Draw
18.3%
FCSB
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 21.4% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 23.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - FCSB Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.48)
    5.22
    (4.42)
    7.48
    (6.42)
    4.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - FCSB?
  • Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 67 - 89.3%). FCSB will win (votes: 5 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 82.3%96.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Crvena Zvezda (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Crvena Zvezda (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Crvena Zvezda (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - FCSB (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 39 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 35 - 89.7%). FCSB (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Crvena Zvezda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, FCSB has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, FCSB has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S. (Inactive) Sandoval K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in FCSB: Cercel I. (Injury) Dawa J. (Knee Injury) Popescu M. (Knee Injury) Stoian A. (Inactive) Tarnovanu S. (Red Card)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    Latest results of FCSB
    22.11.2025 FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti 1:1
    09.11.2025 Hermannstadt - FCSB 3:3
    06.11.2025 Basel - FCSB 3:1
    01.11.2025 Universitatea Cluj - FCSB 0:2
    29.10.2025 Gloria Bistrița - FCSB 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2