Paphos vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alphamega Stadium (Limassol).

Champions League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Zoom, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	0.88
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
78% (274/351)	81% (285/350)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	0.86
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
18	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
17	17
Passes
78% (274/351)	81% (285/350)
Long passes
35% (19/54)	54% (30/56)
Passes in final third
49% (38/78)	68% (95/140)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.93
Throw-ins
15	23
Fouls
17	17
Tackles
72% (13/18)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
46	55
Clearances
40	31
Interceptions
2	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.86	1.34
Goals prevented
-0.14	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Krunic R. 🟨,
33', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Babicka S. 🟨,
56', Babicka S. ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
56', Bruno Duarte ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽, Ndiaye C. (A),
62', Pileas K. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
62', Orsic M. ↓, Jaja ↑,
68', Anderson Silva ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
79', Jaja 🟨,
86', Bruno 🟨,
89', Carcedo J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Jaja ⚽, Pepe (A),
90+1', Ivanic M. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
90+1', Elsnik T. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
90+4', Bruno ↓, Pedrao ↑,
90+7', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
90+9', Pepe 🟨,

Chances of winning

Paphos
29.1%

Draw
25.4%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27.6%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-4%)

Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)	3.73 ↑ (3.59)	2.1 ↓ (2.39)	5.2% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 17 - 19.3%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 59 - 67%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 57.2% – 76.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

TQ, OT - Crvena Zvezda (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.
Paphos has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Crvena Zvezda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Crvena Zvezda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Paphos: David Luiz (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Paphos: Correia J. (Injury) Tankovic M. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paphos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

Paphos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Paphos?

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:

19.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos 1:2

Latest results of Paphos

19.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos 1:2 ✺

12.08.2025 Paphos - Dynamo Kyiv 2:0 ✺

05.08.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Paphos 0:1 ✺

30.07.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Paphos 0:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Paphos - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

19.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos 1:2 ✺

15.08.2025 Mladost Lučani - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:4 ✺

12.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola 1:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

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