Result
1:2
19/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 2 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Sky Sport 251 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Malta | TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, RTS 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovakia | Kanal A, Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Zoom |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/395) | 76% (247/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/395) | 76% (247/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (38/58) | 27% (15/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (104/149) | 66% (57/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (15/49) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Correia J. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),
- 17', Tankovic M. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
- 32', Olayinka P. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Pepe (Pen),
- 58', Bruno Duarte (Pen),
- 58', 1 - 2, Bruno Duarte ⚽,
- 69', Bajo M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
- 73', Anderson Silva ↓, Ilia M. ↑,
- 73', Pileas K. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
- 73', Correia J. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 77', Ivanic M. 🟨,
- 84', Sema K. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
- 87', Babicka S. ↓, Milson ↑,
- 87', Langa B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
58.9% | Draw
22.8% | Paphos
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.5) |
4.16 ↑
(3.9) |
5.15 ↓
(6.25) |
4.1%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
77 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 69 - 89.6%). Paphos will win (votes: 4 - 5.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 82.8% – 96.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Crvena Zvezda (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- Crvena Zvezda has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Paphos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Rodrigo
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Paphos: David Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Avdic A.
(Injury)
- We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Paphos?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos were as follows:
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
