Paphos vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Result
1:1
26/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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usaUsaParamount+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.88
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
78% (274/351)81% (285/350)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.86
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1827
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
78% (274/351)81% (285/350)
Long passes
35% (19/54)54% (30/56)
Passes in final third
49% (38/78)68% (95/140)
Crosses
19% (4/21)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.93
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1717
Tackles
72% (13/18)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4655
Clearances
4031
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.861.34
Goals prevented
-0.140.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 33', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Babicka S. 🟨,
  • 56', Babicka S. , Radonjic N. ,
  • 56', Bruno Duarte , Arnautovic M. ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Ivanic M. , Ndiaye C. (A),
  • 62', Pileas K. , Langa B. ,
  • 62', Orsic M. , Jaja ,
  • 68', Anderson Silva , Bassouamina M. ,
  • 79', Jaja 🟨,
  • 86', Bruno 🟨,
  • 89', Carcedo J. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Jaja , Pepe (A),
  • 90+1', Ivanic M. , Olayinka P. ,
  • 90+1', Elsnik T. , Katai A. ,
  • 90+4', Bruno , Pedrao ,
  • 90+7', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Pepe 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paphos
29.1%
Draw
25.4%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 26.7% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 27.6% 41.6%

Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.25
(2.9)
3.73
(3.59)
2.1
(2.39)
5.2%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 17 - 19.3%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 59 - 67%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 57.2%76.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • TQ, OT - Crvena Zvezda (2.45) (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.
    • Paphos has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Crvena Zvezda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Crvena Zvezda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paphos: David Luiz (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paphos: Correia J. (Injury) Tankovic M. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paphos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos 1:2
    Latest results of Paphos
    12.08.2025 Paphos - Dynamo Kyiv 2:0
    05.08.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Paphos 0:1
    30.07.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Paphos 0:1
    22.07.2025 Paphos - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:1
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    3Inter440011:11012
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    6Newcastle430110:289
    7Real Madrid43018:269
    8Liverpool43019:459
    9Galatasaray43018:629
    10Tottenham42207:258
    11Barcelona421112:757
    12Chelsea42119:637
    13Sporting CP42118:537
    14Dortmund421113:1127
    15Qarabag42118:717
    16Atalanta42113:5-27
    17Atl. Madrid420210:916
    18PSV41219:725
    19Monaco41214:6-25
    20Pafos41212:5-35
    21Bayer Leverkusen41216:10-45
    22Club Brugge KV41128:10-24
    23Eintracht Frankfurt41127:11-44
    24Napoli41124:9-54
    25Marseille41036:513
    26Juventus40317:8-13
    27Ath Bilbao41034:9-53
    28Royale Union SG41034:12-83
    29Bodo/Glimt40225:8-32
    30Slavia Prague40222:8-62
    31Olympiacos Piraeus40222:9-72
    32Villarreal40132:6-41
    33FC Copenhagen40134:12-81
    34Kairat Almaty40132:11-91
    35Benfica40042:8-60
    36Ajax40041:14-130

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