Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 10
- Referee: Georgiev K. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Bidounga R. 🟨,
- 26', Eto'o J. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Pittas I. ⚽, Iliev I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 73', Eto'o J. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Minchev G. (Pen),
- 83', Seger D. ↓, Dodaj K. ↑,
- 83', Iliev I. ↓, Brahimi M. ↑,
- 86', Luann ↓, Miloshev K. ↑,
- 86', Minchev G. ↓, Caue Caruzo ↑,
- 86', Jordao B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Katsarov B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Brahimi M. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Sofia
20.8% | Draw
27.8% | CSKA Sofia
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↓
(4.98) |
3.32 ↓
(3.73) |
1.88 ↑
(1.61) |
5.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA Sofia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA Sofia: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA Sofia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 0.
- Lokomotiv Sofia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- CSKA Sofia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- CSKA Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, CSKA Sofia is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Sofia won against CSKA Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Sofia won against Lokomotiv Sofia?
CSKA Sofia has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA Sofia were as follows:
02.04.2025
CSKA Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
1:0
16.09.2024
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
CSKA Sofia
0:3
30.03.2024
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
CSKA Sofia
0:1
28.09.2023
CSKA Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
2:0
06.11.2022
CSKA Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
0:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
Latest results of CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Beroe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Arda | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:18 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
