Afumaţi vs CSM Satu Mare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
25/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
49
Corner kicks
55
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Fatai K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Mbala K. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Panos M. ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 3, Copaci P. ,
  • 66', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Afumaţi
48.3%
Draw
25.3%
CSM Satu Mare
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 24.7% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afumaţi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afumaţi's form might have worsened.
  • CSM Satu Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afumaţi than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afumaţi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSM Satu Mare than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSM Satu Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Afumaţi - CSM Satu Mare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.68)
    3.59
    (3.65)
    3.44
    (4.15)
    10.1%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Afumaţi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • CSM Satu Mare is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Afumaţi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afumaţi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afumaţi - CSM Satu Mare were as follows:
    13.12.2025 CSM Satu Mare - Afumaţi 2:1
    Latest results of Afumaţi
    18.04.2026 FC Bacău - Afumaţi 3:1
    10.04.2026 Afumaţi - Reșița 1:1
    04.04.2026 Tunari - Afumaţi 0:4
    Latest results of CSM Satu Mare
    Romanian Division 2 Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corvinul740310:6465
    2Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe751112:5760
    3FC Voluntari761015:41158
    4Steaua Bucuresti73048:10-248
    5FC Bihor72059:16-745
    6Chindia Targoviste70074:17-1339

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