Result
1:2
30/11/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Peru | L1 Max |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.60 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 16 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Total Passes |
---|
403 | 513 |
Completed Passes |
---|
344 | 463 |
Crosses Completed |
---|
4 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Eliel ⚽, Pitta I. (A),
- 23', Max Alves 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Ademir ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 46', Everton Ribeiro ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 66', Eliel ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 66', Max Alves ↓, Railan ↑,
- 72', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 72', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 72', Ademir ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 72', Jean Lucas ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 80', Pitta I. 🟨,
- 82', Fernando Sobral ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
- 82', Clayson ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Cauly (A),
- 85', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 90', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
- 90', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Souza D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá 22.6% | Draw 27.4% | Bahia 49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cuiabá - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.14 ↑ (3.11) |
3.46 ↑ (3.1) |
1.9 ↓ (2.39) |
5.6% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Cuiabá is Relegated to Serie B
- Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Bahia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Bahia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Derik Lacerda
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Iago
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Bahia?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Cuiabá?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Bahia were as follows:
13.07.2024
Bahia
-
Cuiabá
1:2
09.11.2023
Bahia
-
Cuiabá
0:3
08.07.2023
Cuiabá
-
Bahia
1:1
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet