Cuiabá vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Cuiabá - Bahia
Result
1:2
30/11/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 36
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
peruPeruL1 Max
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.00
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1111
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
75
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
89
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
51
Throw-ins
1416
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Fouls
98
Yellow Cards
41
Total Passes
403513
Completed Passes
344463
Crosses Completed
47
Interceptions
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Eliel , Pitta I. (A),
  • 23', Max Alves 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Ademir , Jean Lucas (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Caio Alexandre , Nicolas Acevedo ,
  • 46', Everton Ribeiro , de Pena C. ,
  • 66', Eliel , Jadson ,
  • 66', Max Alves , Railan ,
  • 72', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
  • 72', Gilberto , Arias S. ,
  • 72', Ademir , Everaldo ,
  • 72', Jean Lucas , Thaciano ,
  • 80', Pitta I. 🟨,
  • 82', Fernando Sobral , Denilson Alves ,
  • 82', Clayson , Jonathan Cafu ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Rodriguez L. , Cauly (A),
  • 85', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 90', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
  • 90', Matheus Alexandre , Souza D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
22.6%
Draw
27.4%
Bahia
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 30.4% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 30.8% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cuiabá - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (3.11)
    3.46
    (3.1)
    1.9
    (2.39)
    5.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: Bahia will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Cuiabá is Relegated to Serie B
    • Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Bahia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Bahia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cuiabá: Derik Lacerda (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Iago (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Bahia were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Bahia - Cuiabá 1:2
    09.11.2023 Bahia - Cuiabá 0:3
    08.07.2023 Cuiabá - Bahia 1:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    23.11.2024 Juventude - Cuiabá 1:1
    20.11.2024 Cuiabá - Flamengo 1:2
    09.11.2024 Botafogo RJ - Cuiabá 0:0
    28.10.2024 Cuiabá - Corinthians 0:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    20.11.2024 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:2
    09.11.2024 Juventude - Bahia 2:1
    05.11.2024 Bahia - São Paulo 0:3
    28.10.2024 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet