Result
1:2
30/11/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 403 | 513 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 344 | 463 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Eliel ⚽, Pitta I. (A),
- 23', Max Alves 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Ademir ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 46', Everton Ribeiro ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 66', Eliel ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 66', Max Alves ↓, Railan ↑,
- 72', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 72', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 72', Ademir ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 72', Jean Lucas ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 80', Pitta I. 🟨,
- 82', Fernando Sobral ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
- 82', Clayson ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Cauly (A),
- 85', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 90', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
- 90', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Souza D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
22.6% | Draw
27.4% | Bahia
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cuiabá - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(3.11) |
3.46 ↑
(3.1) |
1.9 ↓
(2.39) |
5.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Cuiabá is Relegated to Serie B
- Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Bahia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Bahia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Derik Lacerda
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Iago
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Bahia?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Cuiabá?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Bahia were as follows:
13.07.2024
Bahia
-
Cuiabá
1:2
09.11.2023
Bahia
-
Cuiabá
0:3
08.07.2023
Cuiabá
-
Bahia
1:1
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Juventude | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
