Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
- Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (331/387) | 73% (156/213) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (331/387) | 73% (156/213) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (24/36) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (97/129) | 47% (28/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (13/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Jaja ⚽, Tadeu (A),
- 22', Alan Empereur ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 26', Max Alves 🟨,
- 45+1', Max Alves 🟨,
- 45+3', Willean Lepo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Miguel D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Miguel D. ⚽,
- 60', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 63', Willean Lepo ↓, Moraes ↑,
- 63', Pedrinho ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 64', Carlos Alberto ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
- 66', Tadeu 🟨,
- 72', Messias ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
- 77', Alisson Safira ↓, Edu ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Jaja ⚽, Titi (A),
- 82', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 89', Wellington Rato ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
- 89', Jaja ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽, Tadeu (A),
- 90+7', Garcia E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Goiás 48.6% | Draw 30.6% | Cuiabá 20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Goiás - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.82) |
3.08 ↓ (3.24) |
4.48 ↓ (4.8) |
6.5% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Goiás - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
Goiás will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 3.
- Goiás has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cuiabá is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Goiás is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Goiás: Arthur Caike
(Injury)
Lucas Ribeiro
(Inactive)
Rafael Gava
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Andrade
(Inactive)
Welliton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Injury)
Marcelo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Goiás: Martin Benitez
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Sander
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Cuiabá?
Goiás has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Goiás?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Goiás - Cuiabá were as follows:
23.05.2024
Cuiabá
-
Goiás
1:1
02.05.2024
Goiás
-
Cuiabá
1:0
21.10.2023
Cuiabá
-
Goiás
1:1
04.06.2023
Goiás
-
Cuiabá
0:1
29.03.2023
Goiás
-
Cuiabá
2:0
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Goias | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:32 | 12 | 54 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Avai | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )