Result
2:0
05/10/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 218 | 803 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 160 | 693 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Pitta I. ⚽,
- 19', Lucas Fernandes 🟨,
- 21', Lucas Moura 🟨,
- 38', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Clayson ⚽, Lucas Fernandes (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Bobadilla D. ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
- 63', Wellington Rato ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 63', Rafinha ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
- 63', Lewis J. ↓, Liziero ↑,
- 64', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
- 64', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 73', Clayson ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 78', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
- 90+4', Pitta I. ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 90+4', Fernando Sobral ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
27.9% | Draw
34% | São Paulo
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2%)
Cuiabá - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.92) |
2.79 ↓
(3.1) |
2.48 ↓
(2.55) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). São Paulo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2.
- Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis
(Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Injury)
Joao Moreira
(Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Injury)
Patryck
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against São Paulo?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Cuiabá?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - São Paulo were as follows:
19.06.2024
São Paulo
-
Cuiabá
0:1
26.11.2023
São Paulo
-
Cuiabá
0:0
22.07.2023
Cuiabá
-
São Paulo
2:1
04.09.2022
Cuiabá
-
São Paulo
1:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
