Result
2:0
05/10/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 218 | 803 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 160 | 693 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Pitta I. ⚽,
- 19', Lucas Fernandes 🟨,
- 21', Lucas Moura 🟨,
- 38', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Clayson ⚽, Lucas Fernandes (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Bobadilla D. ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
- 63', Wellington Rato ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 63', Rafinha ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
- 63', Lewis J. ↓, Liziero ↑,
- 64', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
- 64', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 73', Clayson ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 78', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
- 90+4', Pitta I. ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 90+4', Fernando Sobral ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
27.9% | Draw
34% | São Paulo
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2%)
Cuiabá - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.92) |
2.79 ↓
(3.1) |
2.48 ↓
(2.55) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). São Paulo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2.
- Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis
(Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Injury)
Joao Moreira
(Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Injury)
Patryck
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against São Paulo?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Cuiabá?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - São Paulo were as follows:
19.06.2024
São Paulo
-
Cuiabá
0:1
26.11.2023
São Paulo
-
Cuiabá
0:0
22.07.2023
Cuiabá
-
São Paulo
2:1
04.09.2022
Cuiabá
-
São Paulo
1:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 36:20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
