Cuiabá vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
21/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.280.74
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
41
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
01
Passes
80% (287/360)85% (430/505)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.280.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.02
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
01
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free kicks
2120
Passes
80% (287/360)85% (430/505)
Long passes
53% (33/62)50% (33/66)
Passes in final third
61% (49/80)72% (74/103)
Crosses
29% (4/14)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.57
Throw ins
1015
Fouls
2021
Tackles
55% (6/11)83% (5/6)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
1817
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.020.69
Goals prevented
0.020.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Yago Felipe 🟨,
  • 45+1', Vitor Mendes , Luisao ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pepe , David Miguel ,
  • 55', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 67', Lorenzo , Weverson ,
  • 72', Ze Lucas , Dede ,
  • 72', Ze Roberto , Micael ,
  • 78', Vinicius Peixoto , Mateus Santos ,
  • 78', Railan , Nino Paraiba ,
  • 81', Gustavo Maia , Clayson ,
  • 81', Iury Castilho , do Rozario Teixeira F. ,
  • 86', Clayson 🟨,
  • 87', Yago Felipe , de Pena C. ,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
39.2%
Draw
30.6%
Sport Recife
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 30.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 30.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Cuiabá - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.15)
    3.05
    (3)
    3.07
    (3.4)
    7.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Recife is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Derik Lacerda (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Benevenuto (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    04.03.2026 Santa Catarina - Cuiabá 2:1
    12.02.2026 Sport Sinop - Cuiabá 1:0
    08.02.2026 Cuiabá - Várzea Grande 0:1
    31.01.2026 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 2:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avai42205:238
    2Ceara42205:238
    3Vila Nova FC42206:428
    4Operario-PR32103:127
    5Goias42116:517
    6Criciuma42113:217
    7Botafogo SP42027:436
    8Nautico42023:306
    9Sport Recife41305:416
    10Athletic Club31204:315
    11Londrina31116:514
    12Sao Bernardo31114:404
    13Juventude41123:4-14
    14Fortaleza31112:5-34
    15CRB30213:4-12
    16Novorizontino30212:4-22
    17Cuiaba30210:2-22
    18America MG30123:6-31
    19Ponte Preta40132:5-31
    20Atletico GO30032:5-30

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