Cuiabá vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
21/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.280.74
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
41
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
01
Passes
80% (287/360)85% (430/505)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.280.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.02
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
01
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free kicks
2120
Passes
80% (287/360)85% (430/505)
Long passes
53% (33/62)50% (33/66)
Passes in final third
61% (49/80)72% (74/103)
Crosses
29% (4/14)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.57
Throw ins
1015
Fouls
2021
Tackles
55% (6/11)83% (5/6)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
1817
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.020.69
Goals prevented
0.020.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Yago Felipe 🟨,
  • 45+1', Vitor Mendes , Luisao ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pepe , David Miguel ,
  • 55', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 67', Lorenzo , Weverson ,
  • 72', Ze Lucas , Dede ,
  • 72', Ze Roberto , Micael ,
  • 78', Vinicius Peixoto , Mateus Santos ,
  • 78', Railan , Nino Paraiba ,
  • 81', Gustavo Maia , Clayson ,
  • 81', Iury Castilho , do Rozario Teixeira F. ,
  • 86', Clayson 🟨,
  • 87', Yago Felipe , de Pena C. ,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
39.2%
Draw
30.6%
Sport Recife
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 30.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 30.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Cuiabá - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.15)
    3.05
    (3)
    3.07
    (3.4)
    7.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Recife is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Derik Lacerda (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Benevenuto (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    04.03.2026 Santa Catarina - Cuiabá 2:1
    12.02.2026 Sport Sinop - Cuiabá 1:0
    08.02.2026 Cuiabá - Várzea Grande 0:1
    31.01.2026 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 2:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortaleza742110:8214
    2Vila Nova FC633011:8312
    3Criciuma73229:7211
    4Sao Bernardo63128:5310
    5Juventude63125:4110
    6Nautico73135:7-210
    7Ceara62408:5310
    8Sport Recife62406:4210
    9Botafogo SP723210:739
    10Operario-PR62314:319
    11Avai62227:618
    12Novorizontino62227:618
    13Athletic Club62228:808
    14Cuiaba71514:408
    15Atletico GO62137:8-17
    16Ponte Preta62135:6-17
    17Goias72147:12-57
    18Londrina61237:8-15
    19CRB60246:11-52
    20America MG60243:10-72

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