Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 10
- Referee: Markovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 2.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (174/257) | 86% (501/583) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 2.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (174/257) | 86% (501/583) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 67% (40/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 74% (136/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 32% (13/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Stojanovic L. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Varjacic A. (Pen),
- 39', Orescanin M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Stojanovic L. ↓, Jovancic D. ↑,
- 62', Sissoko S. ↓, Mijailovic S. ↑,
- 62', Matijasevic F. ↓, Tufegdzic L. ↑,
- 67', Sremcevic U. ↓, Marinkovic D. ↑,
- 67', Milojevic N. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
- 75', Miladinovic U. ↓, Radosavljevic V. ↑,
- 75', Nikcevic B. ↓, Pavkov M. ↑,
- 90', Ciric J. ↓, Milosevic A. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', Milosevic A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tedic S. (Pen),
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Jovancic D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mladost Lučani
31.4% | Draw
30.7% | Čukarički
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Mladost Lučani - Čukarički Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(2.9) |
3.51 ↑
(3.35) |
2.84 ↑
(2.45) |
-7.2%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mladost Lučani - Čukarički?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Čukarički will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Čukarički may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Čukarički is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladost Lučani won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Čukarički?
Mladost Lučani has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Čukarički won against Mladost Lučani?
Čukarički has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladost Lučani - Čukarički were as follows:
01.02.2025
Čukarički
-
Mladost Lučani
0:0
23.08.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
Čukarički
3:1
26.04.2024
Čukarički
-
Mladost Lučani
4:1
08.03.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
Čukarički
1:0
22.12.2023
Čukarički
-
Mladost Lučani
3:0
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Latest results of Čukarički
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 41:7 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Partizan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29:10 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Cukaricki | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Mladost | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | TSC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Javor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Radnicki 1923 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 13 |
| 13 | Sp. Subotica | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Radnicki Nis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Radnik | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Napredak | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
