Result
1:3
15/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', (Pen),
- 34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
22 de Julio
34.8% | Draw
30.8% | Cumbayá
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 22 de Julio's form might have worsened.Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cumbayá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 22 de Julio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cumbayá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
22 de Julio - Cumbayá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(1.96) |
3.11 ↓
(3.33) |
2.78 ↓
(3.33) |
4.5%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for 22 de Julio - Cumbayá?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- 22 de Julio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, 22 de Julio has had a series of away games.
- 22 de Julio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, 22 de Julio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, 22 de Julio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has 22 de Julio won against Cumbayá?
22 de Julio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against 22 de Julio?
Cumbayá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 22 de Julio - Cumbayá were as follows:
16.09.2025
Cumbayá
-
22 de Julio
2:0
10.06.2025
22 de Julio
-
Cumbayá
1:0
01.04.2025
Cumbayá
-
22 de Julio
4:0
Latest results of 22 de Julio
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City ✔ | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 3 | Gualaceo | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 45 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 30:24 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Ind. Juniors | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 37 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guayaquil City is Qualified for Liga Pro (First stage )
