Result
1:3
15/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', (Pen),
- 34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
22 de Julio
34.8% | Draw
30.8% | Cumbayá
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 22 de Julio's form might have worsened.Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cumbayá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 22 de Julio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cumbayá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
22 de Julio - Cumbayá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(1.96) |
3.11 ↓
(3.33) |
2.78 ↓
(3.33) |
4.5%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for 22 de Julio - Cumbayá?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +2 - Cumbayá (11.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Cumbayá (4.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Cumbayá (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Cumbayá (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Cumbayá (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Cumbayá (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- 22 de Julio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, 22 de Julio has had a series of away games.
- 22 de Julio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, 22 de Julio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, 22 de Julio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has 22 de Julio won against Cumbayá?
22 de Julio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against 22 de Julio?
Cumbayá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 22 de Julio - Cumbayá were as follows:
16.09.2025
Cumbayá
-
22 de Julio
2:0
10.06.2025
22 de Julio
-
Cumbayá
1:0
01.04.2025
Cumbayá
-
22 de Julio
4:0
Latest results of 22 de Julio
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vinotinto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | EL Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | LDU Portoviejo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Gualaceo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nueve de Octubre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Cumbaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 22 de Julio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atletico FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Cuenca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
