Result
0:1
24/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 85', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Vinotinto
43.6% | Draw
29.7% | Cumbayá
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Vinotinto's form might have worsened.Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.82) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
3.51 ↓
(3.91) |
6.7%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Vinotinto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Vinotinto will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Vinotinto is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Vinotinto won against Cumbayá?
Atlético Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Atlético Vinotinto?
Cumbayá has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá were as follows:
17.08.2025
Atlético Vinotinto
-
Cumbayá
4:0
19.03.2025
Cumbayá
-
Atlético Vinotinto
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Vinotinto
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gualaceo | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | Leones del Norte | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:21 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
