El Nacional vs Cumbayá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Cumbayá
Result
2:1
15/09/2024 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 21
  • Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorZapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
92
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
31
Free Kicks
1527
Corner Kicks
65
Offsides
23
Throw-ins
2825
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Fouls
2314
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
11
Attacks
9665
Dangerous Attacks
3621

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Cortez Casierra G. J. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Ordonez J. (Pen),
  • 24', Zuleta M. 🟨,
  • 25', Zuleta M. 🟥,
  • 26', Suarez D. 🟨,
  • 32', Patino D. , Peralta K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Suarez D. , Diaz M. ,
  • 46', Magoia A. , Rivera K. ,
  • 61', Cabeza A. , Carabali E. ,
  • 61', Mejia E. , Borja J. ,
  • 63', Gustavino L. 🟥,
  • 67', Valencia M. , Delgado F. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Delgado F. ,
  • 71', Velez C. 🟨,
  • 75', Caicedo B. , Vides B. ,
  • 78', Mazamba S. , Cabezas Briones R. A. ,
  • 79', Ordonez J. , Guisamano J. ,
  • 86', Vides B. , Ontivero L. ,
  • 86', Osma Rueda A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


El Nacional
59.6%
Draw
24.4%
Cumbayá
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.9% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.2% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • El Nacional - Cumbayá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.57)
    3.78
    (3.88)
    5.74
    (5.42)
    8.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 1.
    • El Nacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cumbayá has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match El Nacional is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Cumbayá were as follows:
    30.03.2024 Cumbayá - El Nacional 1:0
    25.08.2023 El Nacional - Cumbayá 2:2
    02.04.2023 Cumbayá - El Nacional 2:0
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Latest results of Cumbayá
    02.09.2024 Cumbayá - Imbabura 1:2
    24.08.2024 Mushuc Runa - Cumbayá 0:0
    13.08.2024 Guayaquil City - Cumbayá 3:0
    10.08.2024 LDU Quito - Cumbayá 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

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