Result
1:0
30/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Guayaquil City
61.6% | Draw
24.1% | Cumbayá
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guayaquil City's performance.Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cumbayá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-18.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cumbayá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guayaquil City - Cumbayá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(2.17) |
3.81 ↑
(3.25) |
6.39 ↑
(3.05) |
9.1%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City - Cumbayá?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cumbayá will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guayaquil City: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guayaquil City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Guayaquil City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guayaquil City is the clear favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Cumbayá?
Guayaquil City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Guayaquil City?
Cumbayá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guayaquil City - Cumbayá were as follows:
22.05.2025
Cumbayá
-
Guayaquil City
0:0
13.08.2024
Guayaquil City
-
Cumbayá
3:0
06.08.2023
Cumbayá
-
Guayaquil City
2:2
25.02.2023
Guayaquil City
-
Cumbayá
1:1
10.09.2022
Cumbayá
-
Guayaquil City
3:0
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leones del Norte ✔ | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Guayaquil City ✔ | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31:16 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Gualaceo ✔ | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 27:26 | 1 | 34 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre ✔ | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:15 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Ind. Juniors ✔ | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 20:19 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Atletico Vinotinto | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 33:26 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | 22 de Julio ✔ | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:31 | -11 | 28 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres ✔ | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Cumbaya ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Imbabura ✔ | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Chacaritas ✔ | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20:43 | -23 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Nueve de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Ind. Juniors is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
22 de Julio is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Cumbaya is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
