Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 28
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.60 | 1.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
75% | 25% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
16 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
90% (538/598) | 73% (152/208) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.60 | 1.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.46 | 1.45 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
16 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
90% (538/598) | 73% (152/208) |
Long passes |
---|
82% (71/87) | 32% (14/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (198/243) | 56% (23/41) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (9/54) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.76 | 0.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 7 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
91% (10/11) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
23 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
2 | 59 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.45 | 3.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.45 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Monti R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Julio M. ↓, Ona C. ↑,
- 46', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 60', Santamaria T. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 60', Cortez G. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 60', Sornoza J. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 73', Melo A. 🟨,
- 74', Melo A. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
- 76', Schunke R. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Carabajal M. (A),
- 82', Cazares ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
- 85', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 86', Ibarra R. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 89', Iriarte I. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Arroyo J. P. (A),
- 90+2', Ushina K. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 90+2', Gomez L. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle 66% | Draw 23.4% | Vinotinto 10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)The chances for Vinotinto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↑ (1.31) |
4.35 ↓ (4.68) |
9.92 ↑ (8.6) |
-6.2% (9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vinotinto is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ind del Valle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Vinotinto?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Independiente del Valle?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto were as follows:
18.05.2025
Vinotinto
-
Independiente del Valle
1:3
29.08.2024
Vinotinto
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
8 | Emelec | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Aucas | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Macara | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
12 | Delfin | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 28:44 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )