Independiente del Valle vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 28
Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.60	1.27
Ball Possession
75%	25%
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
11	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
16	0
Passes
90% (538/598)	73% (152/208)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.46	1.45
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
11	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
15	3
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
16	0
Touches in opposition box
40	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
7	8
Passes
90% (538/598)	73% (152/208)
Long passes
82% (71/87)	32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
81% (198/243)	56% (23/41)
Crosses
17% (9/54)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.76	0.46
Throw-ins
18	7
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
91% (10/11)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
23	40
Clearances
2	59
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	8
xGOT faced
1.45	3.46
Goals prevented
0.45	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Monti R. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Julio M. ↓, Ona C. ↑,
46', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
60', Santamaria T. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
60', Cortez G. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
60', Sornoza J. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
73', Fernandez M. 🟨,
73', Melo A. 🟨,
74', Melo A. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
76', Schunke R. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Carabajal M. (A),
82', Cazares ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
85', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
86', Ibarra R. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
89', Iriarte I. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Arroyo J. P. (A),
90+2', Ushina K. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
90+2', Gomez L. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Independiente del Valle
66%

Draw
23.4%

Vinotinto
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

19.6%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

18.1%

9.8%

Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.31)	4.35 ↓ (4.68)	9.92 ↑ (8.6)	-6.2% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Vinotinto is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ind del Valle is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Ind del Valle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Vinotinto?

Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Independiente del Valle?

Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto were as follows:

18.05.2025 Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle 1:3

29.08.2024 Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle 1:2

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

30.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario 4:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Emelec - Independiente del Valle 0:1 ✺

19.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 2:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Orense 2:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Vinotinto

29.08.2025 Vinotinto - El Nacional 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1 ✺

18.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto 2:0 ✺

14.08.2025 Gualaceo - Vinotinto 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario 0:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. Catolica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	LDU Quito	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Dep. Cuenca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Tecnico U	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Macara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Emelec	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Barcelona SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Ind. del Valle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Aucas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mushuc Runa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Guayaquil City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Delfin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Orense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Libertad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Leones del Norte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )