Independiente del Valle vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto
Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 28
  • Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.27
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
160
Passes
90% (538/598)73% (152/208)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.461.45
Total shots
217
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
160
Touches in opposition box
408
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
78
Passes
90% (538/598)73% (152/208)
Long passes
82% (71/87)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
81% (198/243)56% (23/41)
Crosses
17% (9/54)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.46
Throw-ins
187
Fouls
97
Tackles
91% (10/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
2340
Clearances
259
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
1.453.46
Goals prevented
0.450.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Monti R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Julio M. , Ona C. ,
  • 46', Pata E. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 60', Santamaria T. , Mercado P. ,
  • 60', Cortez G. , Hoyos M. ,
  • 60', Sornoza J. , Guagua D. ,
  • 73', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 73', Melo A. 🟨,
  • 74', Melo A. , Mera F. ,
  • 76', Schunke R. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. , Carabajal M. (A),
  • 82', Cazares , Arroyo J. P. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ,
  • 85', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 86', Ibarra R. , Lugo J. ,
  • 89', Iriarte I. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Spinelli C. , Arroyo J. P. (A),
  • 90+2', Ushina K. , Luna D. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez L. , Rodriguez E. ,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
66%
Draw
23.4%
Vinotinto
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 19.6% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6% 18.1% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • The chances for Vinotinto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.31)
    4.35
    (4.68)
    9.92
    (8.6)
    -6.2%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Vinotinto is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ind del Valle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle 1:3
    29.08.2024 Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle 1:2
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Aucas301181138:41-341
    10Macara309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )