Result
2:2
03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 🟥,
- 76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
37.5% | Draw
36.7% | Independiente Juniors
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vinotinto's form might have worsened.Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(1.9) |
2.63 ↓
(3.2) |
3.75 ↑
(3.65) |
3.4%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Independiente Jr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vinotinto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vinotinto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Independiente Juniors?
Vinotinto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Vinotinto?
Independiente Juniors has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
30.10.2024
Vinotinto
-
Independiente Juniors
3:2
11.07.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Vinotinto
1:1
12.06.2024
Vinotinto
-
Independiente Juniors
1:0
25.04.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Vinotinto
4:0
26.10.2023
Independiente Juniors
-
Vinotinto
2:4
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nueve de Octubre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ind. Juniors | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico FC | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Cuenca Juniors | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | LDU Portoviejo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Gualaceo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Cumbaya | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | EL Nacional | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
