Curicó Unido vs Deportes Concepción – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción
Result
2:3
30/03/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Martinez S. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Oliver F. ,
  • 21', Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Sanhueza H. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Larrivey J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Martinez S. , Valdivia B. ,
  • 46', Retamal M. , de La Fuente R. ,
  • 46', Saavedra Saavedra F. I. , Espinola J. ,
  • 52', Meneses C. , Ormazabal M. ,
  • 58', Cornejo F. 🟨,
  • 62', Aliaga I. , Quinteros M. ,
  • 65', Nunez F. , Tello Mery G. ,
  • 70', Munoz H. 🟨,
  • 72', Fernandez N. , Bustamante C. ,
  • 72', Saez W. , Barrios N. ,
  • 72', Gillard A. , Escobar C. ,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Silva S. ,
  • 74', 2 - 3, Ojeda U. ,
  • 76', Sanhueza H. 🟨,
  • 80', Herrera C. , Ortiz F. ,
  • 82', Oliver F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Cornejo F. , Carrasco D. ,
  • 90+1', Ojeda U. , Arriagada S. ,

Chances of winning


Curicó Unido
41.6%
Draw
28.6%
Deportes Concepción
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.9% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 25.4% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curicó Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.97)
    3.22
    (3.4)
    3.09
    (3.45)
    8.7%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Curicó Unido won 2.
    • Recent matches Curicó Unido is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Deportes Concepción is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Curicó Unido could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Curicó Unido will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Curicó Unido won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Curicó Unido won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).