Curicó Unido vs Deportes Puerto Montt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
67
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', Vazquez L. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Benegas L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Riveros R. ,
  • 60', Tello D. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Castro R. ,
  • 69', Fernandez N. , Lopes Acevedo M. ,
  • 73', Cardenas J. , Diaz D. ,
  • 73', Flores J. , Vargas C. ,
  • 73', Gonzalez K. , Nieto B. ,
  • 76', Riveros R. , Romo J. ,
  • 77', Negrete S. , Perez S. ,
  • 81', Castro R. , Paredes R. ,
  • 89', Inostroza B. , Alfaro J. ,
  • 89', Benegas L. , Bustamante C. ,
  • 90+3', Riveros M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Curicó Unido
43.4%
Draw
29.8%
Deportes Puerto Montt
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 30.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 30.3% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Curicó Unido's performance.
  • Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Puerto Montt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Curicó Unido that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Puerto Montt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.54)
    3.09
    (3.03)
    3.42
    (2.79)
    8.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Curicó Unido (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    Latest results of Curicó Unido