Curicó Unido vs Santiago Morning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning
Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
21
Total shots
85
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Estay D. 🟨,
  • 40', Bustamante C. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Ormeno E. ,
  • 45+4', Oliver F. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ceron D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ibarra H. , Ortiz F. ,
  • 54', Oliver F. 🟨,
  • 54', Oliver F. 🟥,
  • 58', Bustamante C. , Aliaga I. ,
  • 59', Delgado M. 🟨,
  • 62', Aliaga I. 🟥,
  • 65', Estay D. , Gatica M. ,
  • 73', Arancibia M. , Salazar S. ,
  • 78', Arias D. 🟥,
  • 82', Asprea T. , Castro P. ,
  • 86', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 87', Gonzalez J. , Barrios N. ,
  • 90', Salazar S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Curicó Unido
47.9%
Draw
26.5%
Santiago Morning
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 27.3% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.8% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.87)
    3.48
    (3.38)
    3.6
    (3.92)
    8.3%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Santiago Morning will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Curicó Unido (votes: 1 - 50%). Santiago Morning (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 3.
    • Recent form of Curicó Unido has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santiago Morning is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Santiago Morning may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Curicó Unido could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido 0:0
    13.10.2024 Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido 0:1
    26.05.2024 Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning 2:1
    Latest results of Curicó Unido
    Latest results of Santiago Morning