Result
0:1
18/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (254/316) | 91% (584/641) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (254/316) | 91% (584/641) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 60% (39/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (65/96) | 68% (54/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Bilbao J. 🟨,
- 6', Ruidias M. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Colitto L. ⚽, Callejo F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Barrios K. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 63', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
- 70', Caballero F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
- 70', de la Cruz A. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
- 75', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
- 75', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 81', Da Silva P. 🟨,
- 82', Caro D. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 83', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 83', Da Silva P. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 86', Salcedo R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Callejo F. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
22.9% | Draw
27.5% | Cusco
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayacucho's form might have worsened.Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cusco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayacucho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cusco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ayacucho - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.49 ↑
(2.88) |
3.59 ↑
(3.44) |
1.89 ↓
(2.37) |
3.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Cusco?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Cusco (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cusco will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cusco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
- In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cusco is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cusco could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cusco?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Ayacucho?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Cusco were as follows:
19.04.2025
Cusco
-
Ayacucho
3:0
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
