Result
0:1
18/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.46 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
80% (254/316) | 91% (584/641) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.46 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.88 | 0.20 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (254/316) | 91% (584/641) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (19/42) | 60% (39/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (65/96) | 68% (54/79) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (7/27) | 32% (7/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.29 | 0.62 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
29 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.20 | 0.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.80 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Bilbao J. 🟨,
- 6', Ruidias M. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Colitto L. ⚽, Callejo F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Barrios K. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 63', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
- 70', Caballero F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
- 70', de la Cruz A. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
- 75', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
- 75', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 81', Da Silva P. 🟨,
- 82', Caro D. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 83', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 83', Da Silva P. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 86', Salcedo R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Callejo F. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho 22.9% | Draw 27.5% | Cusco 49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayacucho's form might have worsened.Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cusco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayacucho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cusco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ayacucho - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.26 ↑ (2.88) |
3.52 ↑ (3.44) |
1.91 ↓ (2.37) |
4.1% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Cusco?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Cusco (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cusco will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cusco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
- In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cusco is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cusco could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cusco?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Ayacucho?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Cusco were as follows:
19.04.2025
Cusco
-
Ayacucho
3:0
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Cusco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 19 |
3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
7 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
8 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
11 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
12 | Grau | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
14 | AD Tarma | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
17 | Sport Boys | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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