Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/09/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
 
                                                - Referee: Haro D. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.75 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 34% | 66% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (254/316) | 91% (584/641) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.75 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.20 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 25 | 20 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (254/316) | 91% (584/641) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 60% (39/65) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 68% (65/96) | 68% (54/79) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 32% (7/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.62 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 20 | 13 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 75% (6/8) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 29 | 32 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 16 | 19 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.88 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.88 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 2', Bilbao J. 🟨, 
 - 6', Ruidias M. 🟨, 
 - 10', 0 - 1, Colitto L. ⚽, Callejo F. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 57', Barrios K. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑, 
 - 63', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨, 
 - 70', Caballero F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑, 
 - 70', de la Cruz A. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑, 
 - 75', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑, 
 - 75', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑, 
 - 81', Da Silva P. 🟨, 
 - 82', Caro D. ↓, Yovera A. ↑, 
 - 83', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑, 
 - 83', Da Silva P. ↓, Tevez J. ↑, 
 - 86', Salcedo R. 🟨, 
 - 90+2', Callejo F. ↓, Milesi A. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Ayacucho  22.9% | Draw  27.5% | Cusco  49.6% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ayacucho - Cusco Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   4.26 ↑ (2.88) | 
			   3.52 ↑ (3.44) | 
			   1.91 ↓ (2.37) | 
			   4.1% (6%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Cusco?
                    
                    
                        
						        
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Cusco (1.45) (votes: 4 - 100%). 
 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Cusco will win 
                    (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cusco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
 - In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Cusco is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  - Cusco could have a small edge in this match.
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cusco?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Ayacucho?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cusco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Cusco were as follows:
                                                        
                                19.04.2025 
                                Cusco 
                                - 
                                Ayacucho 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ayacucho                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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