Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Guadalupe W. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (548/600) | 79% (227/288) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (548/600) | 79% (227/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (73/97) | 56% (43/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 100% (14/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Da Silva B. 🟨,
- 45+2', Fuentes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
- 72', Tevez J. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
- 72', Manzaneda J. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
- 82', Graneros A. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 82', Arancibia F. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Ruidias M. ⚽,
- 85', Valenzuela O. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
- 88', Ruidias M. 🟨,
- 90', Silva N. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
- 90', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cusco 48.8% | Draw 27.3% | Deportivo Garcilaso 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.88) |
3.38 ↓ (3.71) |
3.83 ↑ (3.73) |
7.8% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 4.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cusco is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Ascues A.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cusco has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cusco?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
30.09.2025
Cusco
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
4:0
11.05.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
1:3
29.07.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
0:2
17.02.2024
Cusco
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
16.09.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )