Result
4:0
30/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (319/371) | 88% (337/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (319/371) | 88% (337/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 61% (27/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (32/53) | 78% (91/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 20% (6/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Colitto L. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
- 18', Sandoval K. 🟨,
- 21', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 39', Da Silva P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 0, Aucca M. ⚽,
- 64', Gomez N. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 0, Aucca M. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
- 71', Da Silva P. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
- 73', Aucca M. 🟨,
- 75', Bazan J. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 75', Sandoval K. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 79', Aucca M. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
- 79', Colitto L. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
- 82', Gomez N. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
- 82', Canales E. ↓, Portales J. ↑,
- 87', Colman I. ↓, Galvez S. ↑,
- 87', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 0, Portales J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Cusco
46.3% | Draw
27.5% | Deportivo Garcilaso
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.26) |
3.38 ↑
(3.25) |
3.53 ↑
(3.11) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 4).
- Recent performances by Cusco have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cusco could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cusco has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cusco?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
11.05.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
1:3
29.07.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
0:2
17.02.2024
Cusco
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
16.09.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
2:1
23.04.2023
Cusco
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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