Result
3:0
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (475/523) | 78% (231/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (475/523) | 78% (231/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (64/86) | 55% (33/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 23', Murillo Y. 🟥,
- 28', Posito J. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
- 35', 2 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Carabano D. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑,
- 66', Carranza M. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
- 66', de Jesus M. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
- 72', Colitto L. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
- 72', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez E. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 0, Tevez J. (Pen),
- 82', Gaona M. 🟨,
- 84', Saravia M. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
- 85', Aucca M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 87', Silva N. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
- 87', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cusco
49.1% | Draw
27.5% | Sport Huancayo
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Cusco - Sport Huancayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.81) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
3.98 ↓
(4.54) |
6.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cusco - Sport Huancayo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Cusco will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.
- Cusco is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Huancayo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cusco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Huancayo: Ccorahua A.
(Abdominal strain)
- There are questionable in Huancayo: Madrid J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Sport Huancayo?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against Cusco?
Sport Huancayo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Sport Huancayo were as follows:
25.07.2024
Cusco
-
Sport Huancayo
3:0
11.02.2024
Sport Huancayo
-
Cusco
2:0
10.07.2023
Sport Huancayo
-
Cusco
3:1
Latest results of Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
