Dąbrowa Górnicza vs Toruń – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
90:79
16/01/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Basket Liga - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7367
Field goals made
3127
Field goals %
42.47%40.3%
2-point field goals attempts
3847
2-point field goals made
1922
2-point field goals %
50%46.81%
3-point field goals attempts
3520
3-point field goals made
125
3-point field goals %
34.29%25%
Free throws attempts
2124
Free throws made
1620
Free throws %
76.2%83.3%
Offensive rebounds
1517
Defensive rebounds
2529
Total rebounds
4046
Assists
2112
Blocks
33
Turnovers
1119
Steals
136
Personal fouls
2120

Chances of winning


Dąbrowa Górnicza
46.6%
Toruń
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dąbrowa Górnicza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dąbrowa Górnicza's form might have worsened.
  • Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toruń's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dąbrowa Górnicza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dąbrowa Górnicza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toruń than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toruń, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.75)

    1.76
    (1.91)
    6.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 176.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    What is the prediction for Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5, OT - Toruń (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Toruń (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Toruń (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Toruń (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 - Toruń (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 - Toruń (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5 - Toruń (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5 - Toruń (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3, OT - Toruń (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Toruń will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toruń will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Toruń (votes: 12 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dąbrowa Górnicza won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Dąbrowa Górnicza has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dąbrowa Górnicza won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1707:1786. (average 85.4:89.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dąbrowa Górnicza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 705:729. (average 88.1:91.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń were as follows:
    23.12.2025 Toruń - Dąbrowa Górnicza 93:105
    07.05.2025 Toruń - Dąbrowa Górnicza 74:86
    16.01.2025 Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń 98:101
    29.03.2024 Toruń - Dąbrowa Górnicza 79:89
    01.12.2023 Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń 85:92
    Latest results of Dąbrowa Górnicza
    Latest results of Toruń
    09.01.2026 Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Toruń 94:86
    02.01.2026 Toruń - GTK Gliwice 90:88
    01.01.2026 Toruń - Śląsk Wrocław Postponed
    27.12.2025 Górnik Wałbrzych - Toruń 64:71
    23.12.2025 Toruń - Dąbrowa Górnicza 93:105
    Polish Basket Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
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    5Gdynia191271605:154231
    6Slask Wroclaw181351601:147731
    7Zielona Gora201191706:162931
    8Anwil Wloclawek201191791:171631
    9Dabrowa Gornicza2010101733:172930
    10Ostrow Wielkopolski2010101675:173330
    11Gornik Walbrzych191091525:155529
    12Torun208121757:179128
    13Lublin207131629:178427
    14Czarni Slupsk206141661:176026
    15GTK Gliwice205151589:178325
    16Krosno203171640:180723

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