Dagon vs ISPE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
09/02/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
75
Corner kicks
33
Total shots
169
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
94
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Htwe Yan Kyaw ,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Swe Moe ,
  • 45+3', Lam Mang S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 70', 2 - 1, Maung Win Pyae ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Lam Mang S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Dagon
56.5%
Draw
23%
ISPE
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 23.8% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 23% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dagon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dagon's performance.
  • ISPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ISPE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagon than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dagon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ISPE than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ISPE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dagon - ISPE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.9)
    3.92
    (3.8)
    4.41
    (3.16)
    10.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 6).
    • Dagon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • ISPE has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dagon might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dagon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dagon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dagon - ISPE were as follows:
    20.09.2025 ISPE - Dagon 1:1
    04.11.2024 ISPE - Dagon 2:1
    19.07.2024 Dagon - ISPE 2:1
    04.11.2023 ISPE - Dagon 0:1
    02.06.2023 Dagon - ISPE 2:3
    Latest results of Dagon
    04.02.2026 Dagon Port - Dagon 2:2
    29.01.2026 Ayeyawady United - Dagon 0:2
    23.01.2026 Dagon - Shan United 1:3
    16.01.2026 Dagon - Hanthawaddy United 3:0
    05.01.2026 Rakhine United - Dagon 0:2
    Latest results of ISPE
    04.02.2026 Hanthawaddy United - ISPE 1:1
    30.01.2026 ISPE - Yangon United 0:5
    23.01.2026 Mahar United - ISPE 4:1
    17.01.2026 ISPE - Yadanarbon 2:2
    13.01.2026 Ayeyawady United - ISPE 0:1
    Myanmar National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shan Utd19154058:94949
    2Yangon Utd19153159:55448
    3Dagon20115437:241338
    4Hantharwady Utd1976632:29327
    5Mahar United2067736:41-525
    6Ispe FC1974830:42-1225
    7Yadanarbon1965834:33123
    8Ayeyawady1965818:22-423
    9Rakhine United19531124:47-2318
    10Thitsar Arman1938827:35-817
    11Dagon Port1937937:57-2016
    12Yarmanya United19131517:65-486

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