Result
2:1
24/06/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 17
- Referee: Smitas R. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Total shots |
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15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 3 |
Total shots |
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15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Maksymenko M. 🟨,
- 14', Koshkosh I. 🟨,
- 29', Srebalius P. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Magdusauskas V. (Pen),
- 43', Magdusauskas V. 🟨,
- 45+2', Oostenbrink K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Malzinskas D. 🟨,
- 61', Pavlovski M. ↓, Zevzikovas D. ↑,
- 61', Chikovani N. ↓, Kodz D. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Okoniewski K. (Pen),
- 80', Emsis A. ↓, El Harmazi N. ↑,
- 83', Venckus I. ↓, Norvilas D. ↑,
- 88', Simao J. ↓, Jose Elo ↑,
- 88', Magdusauskas V. ↓, Toleikis K. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Okoniewski K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dainava Alytus 31.8% | Draw 29.3% | Banga Gargždai 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.85 ↓ (2.91) |
3.1 ↓ (3.13) |
2.33 ↑ (2.3) |
10.3% (9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dainava will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Banga will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Banga: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Banga Gargždai will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 3.
- Dainava is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Banga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dainava won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dainava Alytus won against Banga Gargždai?
Dainava Alytus has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Banga Gargždai won against Dainava Alytus?
Banga Gargždai has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai were as follows:
20.04.2025
Banga Gargždai
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Dainava Alytus
2:1
05.10.2024
Banga Gargždai
-
Dainava Alytus
0:3
21.07.2024
Dainava Alytus
-
Banga Gargždai
3:1
26.05.2024
Banga Gargždai
-
Dainava Alytus
0:3
06.04.2024
Dainava Alytus
-
Banga Gargždai
2:2
Latest results of Dainava Alytus
Latest results of Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga