Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
21/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Zhu Shiyu ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Tan Long ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Zhao Shuhao (Pen),
  • 1, Rosic L. (Pen),
  • 2, Lu Pin (Pen),
  • 2, Yao Xuchen (Pen),
  • 3, Lei Wenjie (Pen),
  • 3, Beric R. (Pen),
  • 4, Cui Hao (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Dalian Kun City
9.9%
Draw
17.1%
Changchun Yatai
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 25.1% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 22.8% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kun City's form might have worsened.
  • Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Changchun Yatai's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+23.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-32.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dalian Kun City - Changchun Yatai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.55
    (3.05)
    5.56
    (3.7)
    1.3
    (2.09)
    5.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Dalian Kun City - Changchun Yatai?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dalian Kun City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Dalian Kun City (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1 - Changchun Yatai (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Changchun Yatai (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Dalian Kun City (votes: 2 - 25%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dalian Kun City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Changchun Yatai is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Changchun Yatai is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Dalian Kun City
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1Guizhou XufengtangTaian Tiankuang2 : 1
    2ByeShijiazhuang Gongfu
    4ByeShanghai Shenhua
    5Shanghai ZetianChangchun Xidu4 : 2
    6ByeDingnan Ganlian
    8ByeChengdu Rongcheng
    9Hubei IstarNantong Haimen1 : 0
    10ByeGuangxi Hengchen
    12ByeShandong Taishan
    13Shanghai SecondGuangdong Mingtu1 : 0
    14ByeYanbian Longding
    16ByeShanghai Port
    17Xiamen ChengyiShenzhen0 : 1
    18ByeShaanxi Union
    20ByeZhejiang Professional
    21Beijing PengruiGuizhou Guiyang2 : 1
    22ByeShenzhen Juniors
    24ByeShenzhen Peng
    25Dalian KeweiWenzhou Professional2 : 0
    26ByeNantong Zhiyun
    28ByeLiaoning Tieren
    29Yulin MinersGanzhou Ruishi2 : 0
    30ByeSuzhou Dongwu
    32ByeYunnan Yukun
    33Ningxia PingluoHangzhou Linping0 : 2
    34ByeFoshan Nanshi
    36ByeDalian Yingbo
    37Guangdong ShudihongLanzhou Longyuan1 : 4
    38ByeMeizhou Hakka
    40ByeTianjin Jinmen Tiger
    41Wuhan LianzhenXiamen Feilu1 : 0
    42ByeGuangdong GZ-Power
    44ByeBeijing Guoan
    45Liaocheng LegendBeijing Technology2 : 1
    46ByeNingbo Professional
    48ByeChongqing Tonglianglong
    49Quanzhou QinggongJiangxi Lushan0 : 7
    50ByeDalian K'un City
    52ByeHenan Songshan Longmen
    53Yunnan CuanheGuangzhou Dandelion0 : 1
    54ByeWuxi Wugou
    56ByeQingdao Hainiu
    57Chongqing HandaQingdao Red Lions0 : 1
    58ByeNanjing City
    60ByeWuhan Three Towns
    61Qingdao FuliShanxi Chongde Ronghai0 : 2
    62ByeChangchun Yatai
    64ByeQingdao West Coast

    1/32-finals
    1Guizhou XufengtangShijiazhuang Gongfu
    2ByeShanghai Shenhua
    3Shanghai ZetianDingnan Ganlian
    4ByeChengdu Rongcheng
    5Hubei IstarGuangxi Hengchen
    6ByeShandong Taishan
    7Shanghai SecondYanbian Longding
    8ByeShanghai Port
    9ShenzhenShaanxi Union
    10ByeZhejiang Professional
    11Beijing PengruiShenzhen Juniors
    12ByeShenzhen Peng
    13Dalian KeweiNantong Zhiyun
    14ByeLiaoning Tieren
    15Yulin MinersSuzhou Dongwu
    16ByeYunnan Yukun
    17Hangzhou LinpingFoshan Nanshi
    18ByeDalian Yingbo
    19Lanzhou LongyuanMeizhou Hakka
    20ByeTianjin Jinmen Tiger
    21Wuhan LianzhenGuangdong GZ-Power
    22ByeBeijing Guoan
    23Liaocheng LegendNingbo Professional
    24ByeChongqing Tonglianglong
    25Jiangxi LushanDalian K'un City
    26ByeHenan Songshan Longmen
    27Guangzhou DandelionWuxi Wugou
    28ByeQingdao Hainiu
    29Qingdao Red LionsNanjing City
    30ByeWuhan Three Towns
    31Shanxi Chongde RonghaiChangchun Yatai
    32ByeQingdao West Coast

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Shanghai Shenhua
    2TBD #3Chengdu Rongcheng
    3TBD #5Shandong Taishan
    4TBD #7Shanghai Port
    5TBD #9Zhejiang Professional
    6TBD #11Shenzhen Peng
    7TBD #13Liaoning Tieren
    8TBD #15Yunnan Yukun
    9TBD #17Dalian Yingbo
    10TBD #19Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
    11TBD #21Beijing Guoan
    12TBD #23Chongqing Tonglianglong
    13TBD #25Henan Songshan Longmen
    14TBD #27Qingdao Hainiu
    15TBD #29Wuhan Three Towns
    16TBD #31Qingdao West Coast