Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Young Boy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/09/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Workers' Stadium (Beijing).

Super League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.98	1.42
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
85% (493/578)	74% (237/321)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.20	0.98
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
27	30
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
85% (493/578)	74% (237/321)
Long passes
54% (31/57)	47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
69% (90/130)	60% (71/119)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.86	1.32
Throw-ins
22	25
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
67% (10/15)	100% (14/14)
Duels won
53	46
Clearances
30	28
Interceptions
11	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.98	2.20
Goals prevented
-1.02	-1.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Serginho (A),
36', 2 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Zhang Yuan (A),
42', Traore M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Liu Zhurun ↓, Yang Mingrui ↑,
46', Alimi I. ↓, Mao W. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
55', 3 - 1, Zhu P. ⚽,
56', 3 - 2, Daniel Penha ⚽,
56', Zhu P. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
56', Lu Peng ↓, Wen Jiabao ↑,
58', Cao Yongjing ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
69', Liao Jintao 🟨,
75', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Guga ↑,
75', Zhang Yuan ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
78', 4 - 2, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
89', Lin Liangming ↓, Li Lei ↑,
89', Abreu F. ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
90+1', Daniel Penha ↓, Zhao Xuebin ↑,

Chances of winning

Beijing Guoan
62.2%

Draw
20.7%

Dalian Young Boy
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

16.5%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

16%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Guoan's form might have worsened.

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Young Boy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Young Boy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.32)	4.61 ↓ (5.79)	5.51 ↓ (8.4)	5.9% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Dalian Young Boy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Dalian Young Boy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Muhmet N. (Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Dalian Young Boy?

Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Young Boy won against Beijing Guoan?

Dalian Young Boy has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy were as follows:

21.06.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan 1:2

05.05.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan 0:2

Latest results of Beijing Guoan

21.09.2025 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port 2:3 ✺

18.09.2025 Beijing Guoan - Cong An Ha Noi 2:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Shandong Taishan - Beijing Guoan 6:0 ✺

25.08.2025 Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Dalian Young Boy

19.09.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Shenzhen Peng City 2:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Young Boy 4:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Young Boy 2:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Chengdu Rongcheng 0:2 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	26	17	6	3	63:38	25	57
2	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	16	7	3	53:22	31	55
3	Shanghai Shenhua	26	16	6	4	59:31	28	54
4	Beijing Guoan	26	15	6	5	57:39	18	51
5	Shandong Taishan	26	12	7	7	57:41	16	43
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	12	7	7	36:32	4	43
7	Zhejiang Professional	26	10	9	7	54:42	12	39
8	Qingdao West Coast	26	9	9	8	35:38	-3	36
9	Dalian Yingbo	26	9	6	11	26:40	-14	33
10	Yunnan Yukun	26	8	8	10	39:50	-11	32
11	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	5	13	45:44	1	29
12	Wuhan Three Towns	26	6	6	14	32:54	-22	24
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	6	2	18	30:55	-25	20
14	Meizhou Hakka	26	5	5	16	31:57	-26	20
15	Qingdao Hainiu	26	3	9	14	25:40	-15	18
16	Changchun Yatai	26	4	6	16	24:43	-19	18

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